Dortmund at Werder Bremen

Updated

Dortmund

56.9%21.2%21.9%
Dortmund WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
2.04Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 1

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 2-0 at Union Berlin+105
L 3-2 vs Hoffenheim-230
T 1-1 at Wolfsburg+109
W 0-3 vs Freiburg-220
T 0-0 at FC Heidenheim-105
Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 1-2 at Hoffenheim+250
T 1-1 vs Darmstadt 98-135
W 1-0 at FC Koln+197
L 2-1 vs FC Heidenheim-118
W 1-0 at Mainz 05+290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+100-121-125-125-122-125-121-116.0
Werder Bremen+225+290+275+305+288+305+305+319.0
Draw+310+325+340+331+338+331+340+345.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund-115--128-120-145-125-120-116.0
Werder Bremen+285-+288+270+270+300+300+319.0
Draw+290-+328+280+280+310+328+345.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 20.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from -114 to -123
Werder Bremen ML moved from +288 to +282

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 20.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from -122 to -128
Werder Bremen ML moved from +283 to +265

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-108o3½+102o3½+100o3¼-118o3¼-111o3¼-118o3¼-111o3¼-107
Underu3¼-112u3½-120u3½-120u3¼-102u3¼-103u3¼-102u3½-120u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-140o3½+105o3½+115o3-140o3½+115o3-140o3¼-107
Underu3+115u3+120u3½-125u3½-135u3+110u3½-135u3½-125u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.7%
 
No39.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.94%
Exactly 220.60%
Exactly 417.96%
Exactly 66.26%
Exactly 81.17%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.74%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 511.62%
Exactly 72.89%
Exactly 90.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 013.01%
Exactly 126.53%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.40%
Exactly 49.38%
Exactly 53.83%
Exactly 61.30%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 030.27%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.37%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 44.69%
Exactly 60.35%
 
Exactly 133.50%
Exactly 312.52%
Exactly 51.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 038.89%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.34%
Exactly 35.46%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 057.51%
Exactly 131.82%
Exactly 28.80%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals34.04%
Wins by 3+ goals16.81%
Wins by 4+ goals6.89%
Wins by 5+ goals2.36%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals8.56%
Wins by 3+ goals2.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal22.71%
Wins by 2 goals17.24%
Wins by 3 goals9.91%
Wins by 4 goals4.54%
Wins by 5 goals1.71%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal13.30%
Wins by 2 goals5.92%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.06%3.94%
1.583.33%16.67%
2.562.73%37.27%
3.540.52%59.48%
4.522.56%77.44%
5.510.94%89.06%
6.54.68%95.32%
7.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.99%13.01%
1.560.46%39.54%
2.533.41%66.59%
3.515.01%84.99%
4.55.63%94.37%
5.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.73%30.27%
1.533.55%66.45%
2.511.94%88.06%
3.53.33%96.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.63%22.37%
1.544.14%55.86%
2.519.06%80.94%
3.56.53%93.47%
4.51.85%98.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
3.94%
4.71%
2.81%
1.12%
0.33%
1
8.03%
9.60%
5.73%
2.28%
0.68%
2
8.19%
9.79%
5.85%
2.33%
0.70%
3
5.57%
6.65%
3.98%
1.58%
0.47%
4
2.84%
3.39%
2.03%
0.81%
0.24%
5
1.16%
1.38%
0.83%
0.33%
0.10%
Dortmund
1-08.03%
2-08.19%
2-19.79%
3-05.57%
3-16.65%
3-23.98%
4-02.84%
4-13.39%
4-22.03%
4-30.81%
5-01.16%
5-11.38%
5-20.83%
5-30.33%
Draw
0-03.94%
1-19.60%
2-25.85%
3-31.58%
4-40.24%
Werder Bremen
0-14.71%
0-22.81%
1-25.73%
0-31.12%
1-32.28%
2-32.33%
0-40.33%
1-40.68%
2-40.70%
3-40.47%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Werder Bremen
Score0123
0
22.37%
12.37%
3.42%
0.63%
1
21.12%
11.69%
3.23%
0.60%
2
9.97%
5.52%
1.53%
0.28%
3
3.14%
1.74%
0.48%
0.09%
4
0.74%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
5
0.14%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-021.12%
2-09.97%
2-15.52%
3-03.14%
3-11.74%
3-20.48%
4-00.74%
4-10.41%
4-20.11%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-022.37%
1-111.69%
2-21.53%
Werder Bremen
0-112.37%
0-23.42%
1-23.23%
0-30.63%
1-30.60%
2-30.28%