Werder Bremen at Koln

Updated

Werder Bremen

25.8%23.2%50.9%
Werder Bremen WinDrawKoln Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.79
1Final Score 7

FC Koln

Last 5 Games

Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 2-1 vs RB Leipzig+277
L 1-6 at Bayern Munich+1400
W 1-2 vs Schalke 04-180
W 0-1 vs Hertha BSC+110
L 0-2 at Freiburg+281
FC Koln
Money Line
L 0-2 at Hertha BSC+185
L 2-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+220
L 0-2 at Freiburg+455
T 1-1 vs Hoffenheim+220
L 0-5 at Mainz 05+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+190+264+255+280+273+280+280+281.2
Koln+124+102+100-102+105-102+105+109.5
Draw+285+270+275+275+276+275+276+284.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+200-+260-+245+260+260+281.2
Koln+125-+100--120+100+100+109.5
Draw+265-+264-+240+265+265+284.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Koln: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Koln: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 10.0%
Koln: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +279 to +269
Koln ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Koln: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Koln: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Koln: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +268 to +260
Koln ML moved from +110 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o2½-127o2¾+100o2¾-102o3+139o2¾-102o2½-127o3+145
Underu2¾+102u2½+107u2¾-120u2¾-118u3-154u2¾-118u3-150u3-145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2½-135o2½-132-o2½-130o2½-130o2½-130o3+145
Underu3-115u2½+115u2½+112-u2½+100u2½+110u2½+115u3-145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.4%
 
No41.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.00%
Exactly 222.44%
Exactly 416.78%
Exactly 65.02%
Exactly 80.80%
 
Exactly 114.99%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.05%
Exactly 72.15%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 029.85%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - FC Koln
Exactly 016.76%
Exactly 129.94%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 315.92%
Exactly 47.11%
Exactly 52.54%
Exactly 60.76%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.99%
Exactly 224.03%
Exactly 43.85%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.65%
Exactly 311.11%
Exactly 51.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 057.13%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC Koln
Exactly 043.74%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 214.95%
Exactly 34.12%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals10.41%
Wins by 3+ goals3.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
FC Koln
Wins by 2+ goals28.11%
Wins by 3+ goals12.59%
Wins by 4+ goals4.64%
Wins by 5+ goals1.43%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Werder Bremen
FC Koln
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal15.40%
Wins by 2 goals7.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
FC Koln
Wins by 1 goal22.75%
Wins by 2 goals15.52%
Wins by 3 goals7.94%
Wins by 4 goals3.22%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.00%5.00%
1.580.01%19.99%
2.557.57%42.43%
3.535.17%64.83%
4.518.39%81.61%
5.58.34%91.66%
6.53.33%96.67%
7.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.15%29.85%
1.534.06%65.94%
2.512.25%87.75%
3.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals FC Koln Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.24%16.76%
1.553.30%46.70%
2.526.56%73.44%
3.510.65%89.35%
4.53.54%96.46%
5.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.01%24.99%
1.540.36%59.64%
2.516.33%83.67%
3.55.22%94.78%
4.51.37%98.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Werder Bremen
FC Koln
Score012345
0
5.00%
8.94%
7.98%
4.75%
2.12%
0.76%
1
6.05%
10.80%
9.65%
5.74%
2.56%
0.92%
2
3.66%
6.53%
5.83%
3.47%
1.55%
0.55%
3
1.47%
2.63%
2.35%
1.40%
0.62%
0.22%
4
0.45%
0.80%
0.71%
0.42%
0.19%
0.07%
5
0.11%
0.19%
0.17%
0.10%
0.05%
0.02%
Werder Bremen
1-06.05%
2-03.66%
2-16.53%
3-01.47%
3-12.63%
3-22.35%
4-00.45%
4-10.80%
4-20.71%
4-30.42%
5-00.11%
5-10.19%
5-20.17%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-05.00%
1-110.80%
2-25.83%
3-31.40%
4-40.19%
FC Koln
0-18.94%
0-27.98%
1-29.65%
0-34.75%
1-35.74%
2-33.47%
0-42.12%
1-42.56%
2-41.55%
3-40.62%
0-50.76%
1-50.92%
2-50.55%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Werder Bremen
FC Koln
Score01234
0
24.99%
20.67%
8.54%
2.36%
0.49%
1
13.99%
11.57%
4.78%
1.32%
0.27%
2
3.92%
3.24%
1.34%
0.37%
0.08%
3
0.73%
0.60%
0.25%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Werder Bremen
1-013.99%
2-03.92%
2-13.24%
3-00.73%
3-10.60%
3-20.25%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-024.99%
1-111.57%
2-21.34%
FC Koln
0-120.67%
0-28.54%
1-24.78%
0-32.36%
1-31.32%
2-30.37%
0-40.49%
1-40.27%