Freiburg at Mainz 05

Updated

Freiburg

45.3%24.1%30.6%
Freiburg WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.69Projected Goals 1.14
0Final Score 1

Mainz 05

Last 2 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
L 3-0 vs RB Leipzig+410
W 2-1 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+350
Mainz 05
Money Line
T 0-0 at Schalke 04+120
L 1-0 vs Augsburg+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+165+222+215+225-+225+225-
Mainz 05+155+131+135+140-+140+140-
Draw+250+226+225+225-+225+226-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+150-+224-+180+175+224-
Mainz 05+150-+130-+130+165+165-
Draw+200-+224-+200+225+225-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 40.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Freiburg: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +173 to +167
Mainz 05 ML moved from +142 to +131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 30.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Freiburg: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML
Mainz 05 ML moved from +142 to +129

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2¼-120o2½+105o2¼-115-o2¼-115o2½+120-
Underu2½-115u2¼-102u2½-125u2¼-105-u2¼-105u2½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+110o2½+108-o2½+100o2½+115o2½+115-
Underu2½-115u2½-130u2½-128-u2½-130u2½-135u2½-128-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.6%
 
No44.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.87%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 415.80%
Exactly 64.23%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.65%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.96%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 018.42%
Exactly 131.16%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 314.86%
Exactly 46.29%
Exactly 52.13%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 031.88%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.92%
Exactly 223.18%
Exactly 43.33%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 310.14%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 045.69%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 214.01%
Exactly 33.66%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 058.91%
Exactly 131.17%
Exactly 28.25%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals26.97%
Wins by 3+ goals11.66%
Wins by 4+ goals4.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.22%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals9.97%
Wins by 3+ goals2.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal23.19%
Wins by 2 goals15.31%
Wins by 3 goals7.52%
Wins by 4 goals2.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.93%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal15.67%
Wins by 2 goals6.99%
Wins by 3 goals2.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.13%5.87%
1.577.48%22.52%
2.553.88%46.12%
3.531.58%68.42%
4.515.78%84.22%
5.56.82%93.18%
6.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.58%18.42%
1.550.42%49.58%
2.524.06%75.94%
3.59.19%90.81%
4.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.12%31.88%
1.531.67%68.33%
2.510.84%89.16%
3.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.08%26.92%
1.537.76%62.24%
2.514.58%85.42%
3.54.43%95.57%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
5.87%
6.71%
3.84%
1.46%
0.42%
1
9.94%
11.36%
6.49%
2.47%
0.71%
2
8.40%
9.61%
5.49%
2.09%
0.60%
3
4.74%
5.42%
3.10%
1.18%
0.34%
4
2.00%
2.29%
1.31%
0.50%
0.14%
5
0.68%
0.78%
0.44%
0.17%
0.05%
Freiburg
1-09.94%
2-08.40%
2-19.61%
3-04.74%
3-15.42%
3-23.10%
4-02.00%
4-12.29%
4-21.31%
4-30.50%
5-00.68%
5-10.78%
5-20.44%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.87%
1-111.36%
2-25.49%
3-31.18%
4-40.14%
Mainz 05
0-16.71%
0-23.84%
1-26.49%
0-31.46%
1-32.47%
2-32.09%
0-40.42%
1-40.71%
2-40.60%
3-40.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Mainz 05
Score0123
0
26.92%
14.24%
3.77%
0.66%
1
21.08%
11.16%
2.95%
0.52%
2
8.26%
4.37%
1.16%
0.20%
3
2.16%
1.14%
0.30%
0.05%
4
0.42%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-021.08%
2-08.26%
2-14.37%
3-02.16%
3-11.14%
3-20.30%
4-00.42%
4-10.22%
Draw
0-026.92%
1-111.16%
2-21.16%
Mainz 05
0-114.24%
0-23.77%
1-22.95%
0-30.66%
1-30.52%
2-30.20%
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