Augsburg at Werder Bremen

Updated

Augsburg

28.1%24.4%47.5%
Augsburg WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 0

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Augsburg
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Hertha BSC+146
L 0-1 at Hoffenheim+575
L 2-1 vs Mainz 05+285
W 2-1 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+850
L 4-0 vs Freiburg+245
Werder Bremen
Money Line
W 2-0 at VfL Bochum+125
L 4-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+135
W 3-2 at Dortmund+662
T 2-2 vs VfB Stuttgart+125
T 2-2 at Wolfsburg+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Augsburg+350+532+500+525+516+525+532+549.7
Werder Bremen-135-201-210-200-211-200-200-175.3
Draw+280+368+360+380+364+380+380+377.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Augsburg+390-+500-+370+480+500+549.7
Werder Bremen-150--200--200-185-185-175.3
Draw+305-+356-+300+335+356+377.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Augsburg: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Augsburg: 50.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Augsburg: 10.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Augsburg ML moved from +520 to +500
Werder Bremen ML moved from -195 to -201

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Augsburg: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Augsburg: 50.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Augsburg: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Augsburg ML
Werder Bremen ML moved from -180 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o3-119o3-110o3-114-o3-114o3-110o3-101
Underu2¾-115u3+101u3-110u3-106-u3-106u3+101u3+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3-110o3-110-o3-120o3-105o3-105o3-101
Underu3-130u3-110u3-110-u3-110u3-115u3-110u3+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.3%
 
No43.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.86%
Exactly 223.59%
Exactly 415.81%
Exactly 64.24%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.63%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.97%
Exactly 71.72%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Augsburg
Exactly 030.07%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 221.71%
Exactly 38.70%
Exactly 42.61%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 019.50%
Exactly 131.88%
Exactly 226.06%
Exactly 314.20%
Exactly 45.80%
Exactly 51.90%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.89%
Exactly 223.19%
Exactly 43.33%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.32%
Exactly 310.15%
Exactly 50.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Augsburg
Exactly 057.33%
Exactly 131.90%
Exactly 28.87%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 046.91%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 213.44%
Exactly 33.39%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Augsburg
Wins by 2+ goals11.42%
Wins by 3+ goals3.64%
Wins by 4+ goals0.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals24.80%
Wins by 3+ goals10.40%
Wins by 4+ goals3.57%
Wins by 5+ goals1.02%
Wins by 6+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Augsburg
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Augsburg
Wins by 1 goal16.64%
Wins by 2 goals7.78%
Wins by 3 goals2.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal22.64%
Wins by 2 goals14.41%
Wins by 3 goals6.83%
Wins by 4 goals2.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.78%
Wins by 6 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.14%5.86%
1.577.51%22.49%
2.553.92%46.08%
3.531.62%68.38%
4.515.81%84.19%
5.56.83%93.17%
6.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Augsburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.93%30.07%
1.533.80%66.20%
2.512.09%87.91%
3.53.39%96.61%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.50%19.50%
1.548.63%51.37%
2.522.57%77.43%
3.58.37%91.63%
4.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.11%26.89%
1.537.79%62.21%
2.514.60%85.40%
3.54.44%95.56%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Augsburg
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
5.86%
9.59%
7.84%
4.27%
1.75%
0.57%
1
7.05%
11.52%
9.42%
5.13%
2.10%
0.69%
2
4.23%
6.92%
5.66%
3.08%
1.26%
0.41%
3
1.70%
2.77%
2.27%
1.23%
0.50%
0.17%
4
0.51%
0.83%
0.68%
0.37%
0.15%
0.05%
5
0.12%
0.20%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Augsburg
1-07.05%
2-04.23%
2-16.92%
3-01.70%
3-12.77%
3-22.27%
4-00.51%
4-10.83%
4-20.68%
4-30.37%
5-00.12%
5-10.20%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-05.86%
1-111.52%
2-25.66%
3-31.23%
4-40.15%
Werder Bremen
0-19.59%
0-27.84%
1-29.42%
0-34.27%
1-35.13%
2-33.08%
0-41.75%
1-42.10%
2-41.26%
3-40.50%
0-50.57%
1-50.69%
2-50.41%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Augsburg
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
26.89%
20.36%
7.70%
1.94%
0.37%
1
14.96%
11.33%
4.29%
1.08%
0.20%
2
4.16%
3.15%
1.19%
0.30%
0.06%
3
0.77%
0.58%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Augsburg
1-014.96%
2-04.16%
2-13.15%
3-00.77%
3-10.58%
3-20.22%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-026.89%
1-111.33%
2-21.19%
Werder Bremen
0-120.36%
0-27.70%
1-24.29%
0-31.94%
1-31.08%
2-30.30%
0-40.37%
1-40.20%