Napoli at Milan

Updated

Napoli

31.3%25.6%43.1%
Napoli WinDrawMilan Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.51
1Final Score 0

Milan

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Empoli-250
L 3-2 vs Atalanta+170
T 2-2 at Sassuolo-120
W 0-4 vs Lazio-130
L 2-3 at Inter+235
Milan
Money Line
T 1-1 at Udinese-120
W 0-2 vs Salernitana-475
W 3-0 at Genoa-180
L 3-1 vs Sassuolo-225
L 3-4 at Fiorentina+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+200+250+275+282+254+275+282+280.6
Milan+135+110+105+106+104+105+106+117.9
Draw+240+245+260+265+248+260+265+259.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+210---+190+260+260+280.6
Milan+125---+115+110+115+117.9
Draw+255---+210+240+240+259.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Napoli: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +256 to +245
Milan ML moved from +120 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Napoli: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +275 to +260
Milan ML moved from +120 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-118-o2½-116--o2½-116o2½-105
Underu2¾-118u2½-102-u2½+101--u2½+101u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115--o2½-120o2½-120o2½-115o2½-105
Underu2½-105u2½-105--u2½-110u2½+100u2½+100u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.33%
Exactly 225.03%
Exactly 414.25%
Exactly 63.24%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.15%
Exactly 321.80%
Exactly 57.45%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 033.30%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.13%
Exactly 37.38%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 022.00%
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 312.73%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 51.46%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.82%
Exactly 221.83%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 38.81%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 060.11%
Exactly 130.60%
Exactly 27.79%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 049.61%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 212.19%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals10.56%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals23.42%
Wins by 3+ goals9.28%
Wins by 4+ goals2.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Milan
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal16.90%
Wins by 2 goals7.45%
Wins by 3 goals2.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.28%
Wins by 2 goals14.14%
Wins by 3 goals6.32%
Wins by 4 goals2.21%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.67%7.33%
1.573.52%26.48%
2.548.50%51.50%
3.526.70%73.30%
4.512.45%87.55%
5.55.00%95.00%
6.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.70%33.30%
1.530.08%69.92%
2.59.95%90.05%
3.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.00%22.00%
1.544.69%55.31%
2.519.47%80.53%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.18%29.82%
1.534.10%65.90%
2.512.27%87.73%
3.53.47%96.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Milan
Score012345
0
7.33%
11.09%
8.40%
4.24%
1.60%
0.49%
1
8.06%
12.20%
9.23%
4.66%
1.76%
0.53%
2
4.43%
6.71%
5.08%
2.56%
0.97%
0.29%
3
1.62%
2.46%
1.86%
0.94%
0.36%
0.11%
4
0.45%
0.68%
0.51%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
Napoli
1-08.06%
2-04.43%
2-16.71%
3-01.62%
3-12.46%
3-21.86%
4-00.45%
4-10.68%
4-20.51%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-07.33%
1-112.20%
2-25.08%
3-30.94%
Milan
0-111.09%
0-28.40%
1-29.23%
0-34.24%
1-34.66%
2-32.56%
0-41.60%
1-41.76%
2-40.97%
3-40.36%
0-50.49%
1-50.53%
2-50.29%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Milan
Score01234
0
29.82%
20.90%
7.33%
1.71%
0.30%
1
15.18%
10.64%
3.73%
0.87%
0.15%
2
3.86%
2.71%
0.95%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.66%
0.46%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Napoli
1-015.18%
2-03.86%
2-12.71%
3-00.66%
3-10.46%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.82%
1-110.64%
2-20.95%
Milan
0-120.90%
0-27.33%
1-23.73%
0-31.71%
1-30.87%
2-30.22%
0-40.30%
1-40.15%
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