Genoa at Roma

Updated

Genoa

12.4%18.4%69.2%
WinDrawRoma Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.21
0Final Score 1

Roma

Last 5 Games

Genoa
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sassuolo+135
T 3-3 at Milan+670
W 0-3 vs Cagliari+128
L 1-0 vs Lazio+220
T 1-1 at Fiorentina+375
Roma
Money Line
L 1-2 at Atalanta+312
T 1-1 vs Juventus+192
T 2-2 at Napoli+300
W 2-1 at Udinese
L 3-1 vs Bologna+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Genoa+500+606+525+670+635+670+670+696.9
Roma-175-209-215-225-214-225-209-202.1
Draw+310+351+370+370+360+370+370+386.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Genoa+565-+615-+500+550+615+696.9
Roma-205--223--230-205-205-202.1
Draw+345-+350-+280+345+350+386.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Genoa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Genoa: 0.0%
Roma: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Genoa: 20.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Genoa ML moved from +550 to +525
Roma ML moved from -215 to -225

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Genoa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Genoa: 0.0%
Roma: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Genoa: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Genoa ML moved from +540 to +510
Roma ML moved from -195 to -218

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-135o2¾-102o2¾-105o2¾-103o2¾-105o2¾-102o2¾+104
Underu2½-122u2½+115u2¾-118u2¾-115u2¾-111u2¾-115u2¾-111u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-135o2½-135-o3+100o2½-130o2½-130o2¾+104
Underu2½+100u2½+115u2½+115-u3-130u2½+110u3-130u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3+110
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.89%
Exactly 222.26%
Exactly 416.91%
Exactly 65.14%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.75%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.21%
Exactly 72.22%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Genoa
Exactly 044.40%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 214.64%
Exactly 33.96%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 011.00%
Exactly 124.28%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 319.71%
Exactly 410.88%
Exactly 54.80%
Exactly 61.77%
Exactly 70.56%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.71%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 43.93%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 311.25%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Genoa
Exactly 068.66%
Exactly 125.81%
Exactly 24.85%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 035.99%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.79%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 41.64%
Exactly 50.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Genoa
Wins by 2+ goals3.61%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals45.33%
Wins by 3+ goals24.53%
Wins by 4+ goals11.08%
Wins by 5+ goals4.23%
Wins by 6+ goals1.38%
Wins by 7+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Genoa
Roma
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Genoa
Wins by 1 goal8.75%
Wins by 2 goals2.81%
Wins by 3 goals0.67%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal23.80%
Wins by 2 goals20.80%
Wins by 3 goals13.45%
Wins by 4 goals6.84%
Wins by 5 goals2.86%
Wins by 6 goals1.01%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.11%4.89%
1.580.37%19.63%
2.558.10%41.90%
3.535.70%64.30%
4.518.79%81.21%
5.58.58%91.42%
6.53.45%96.55%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Genoa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.60%44.40%
1.519.55%80.45%
2.54.92%95.08%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.00%11.00%
1.564.71%35.29%
2.537.92%62.08%
3.518.20%81.80%
4.57.33%92.67%
5.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.29%24.71%
1.540.74%59.26%
2.516.60%83.40%
3.55.35%94.65%
4.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Genoa
Roma
Score012345
0
4.89%
10.78%
11.90%
8.75%
4.83%
2.13%
1
3.97%
8.75%
9.66%
7.11%
3.92%
1.73%
2
1.61%
3.55%
3.92%
2.89%
1.59%
0.70%
3
0.44%
0.96%
1.06%
0.78%
0.43%
0.19%
Genoa
1-03.97%
2-01.61%
2-13.55%
3-00.44%
3-10.96%
3-21.06%
Draw
0-04.89%
1-18.75%
2-23.92%
3-30.78%
Roma
0-110.78%
0-211.90%
1-29.66%
0-38.75%
1-37.11%
2-32.89%
0-44.83%
1-43.92%
2-41.59%
3-40.43%
0-52.13%
1-51.73%
2-50.70%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Genoa
Roma
Score012345
0
24.71%
25.25%
12.90%
4.39%
1.12%
0.23%
1
9.29%
9.49%
4.85%
1.65%
0.42%
0.09%
2
1.75%
1.78%
0.91%
0.31%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.22%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Genoa
1-09.29%
2-01.75%
2-11.78%
3-00.22%
3-10.22%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-024.71%
1-19.49%
2-20.91%
Roma
0-125.25%
0-212.90%
1-24.85%
0-34.39%
1-31.65%
2-30.31%
0-41.12%
1-40.42%
0-50.23%