Napoli at Cagliari

Updated

Napoli

62.9%21.0%16.1%
Napoli WinDrawWin
1.97Projected Goals 0.89
1Final Score 1

Cagliari

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Genoa-137
L 0-1 at Milan+295
W 1-2 vs Hellas Verona-225
T 0-0 at Lazio+235
W 1-2 vs Salernitana-310
Cagliari
Money Line
T 1-1 at Udinese+340
L 3-1 vs Lazio+272
L 0-4 at Roma+675
L 2-1 vs Torino+272
L 1-3 at Frosinone+214

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-105-125-125-125-126-125-125-116.0
Cagliari+291+352+320+371+360+371+371+387.3
Draw+266+281+285+275+286+275+286+288.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-115--129--140-130-129-116.0
Cagliari+310-+358-+295+360+360+387.3
Draw+270-+269-+245+270+270+288.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cagliari: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Cagliari: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Cagliari: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -123 to -129
Cagliari ML moved from +330 to +320

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cagliari: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Cagliari: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Cagliari: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -120 to -129
Cagliari ML moved from +310 to +295

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-130o2¾-102o2¾+100o2¾-101o2¾+100o2½-130o2¾+109
Underu2½+107u2½+110u2¾-118u2¾-120u2¾-115u2¾-120u2¾-115u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-120o2½-125-o2½-130o2½-130o2½-120o2¾+109
Underu2½+100u2½+100u2½+105-u2½+100u2½+110u2½+110u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.70%
Exactly 223.39%
Exactly 415.99%
Exactly 64.37%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.33%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.16%
Exactly 71.79%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 013.82%
Exactly 127.35%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.85%
Exactly 48.83%
Exactly 53.49%
Exactly 61.15%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Cagliari
Exactly 041.24%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.18%
Exactly 34.78%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.55%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 310.32%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 040.00%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.79%
Exactly 35.13%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cagliari
Exactly 066.36%
Exactly 127.22%
Exactly 25.58%
Exactly 30.76%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals38.26%
Wins by 3+ goals18.97%
Wins by 4+ goals7.76%
Wins by 5+ goals2.64%
Cagliari
Wins by 2+ goals5.09%
Wins by 3+ goals1.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Cagliari
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal24.52%
Wins by 2 goals19.29%
Wins by 3 goals11.21%
Wins by 4 goals5.12%
Wins by 5 goals1.91%
Cagliari
Wins by 1 goal10.97%
Wins by 2 goals3.86%
Wins by 3 goals1.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.30%5.70%
1.577.97%22.03%
2.554.58%45.42%
3.532.25%67.75%
4.516.25%83.75%
5.57.09%92.91%
6.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.18%13.82%
1.558.82%41.18%
2.531.76%68.24%
3.513.91%86.09%
4.55.08%94.92%
5.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Cagliari Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.76%41.24%
1.522.23%77.77%
2.56.05%93.95%
3.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.45%26.55%
1.538.25%61.75%
2.514.90%85.10%
3.54.58%95.42%
4.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Cagliari
Score01234
0
5.70%
5.05%
2.24%
0.66%
0.15%
1
11.28%
9.99%
4.43%
1.31%
0.29%
2
11.16%
9.89%
4.38%
1.29%
0.29%
3
7.36%
6.52%
2.89%
0.85%
0.19%
4
3.64%
3.23%
1.43%
0.42%
0.09%
5
1.44%
1.28%
0.57%
0.17%
0.04%
Napoli
1-011.28%
2-011.16%
2-19.89%
3-07.36%
3-16.52%
3-22.89%
4-03.64%
4-13.23%
4-21.43%
4-30.42%
5-01.44%
5-11.28%
5-20.57%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.70%
1-19.99%
2-24.38%
3-30.85%
Cagliari
0-15.05%
0-22.24%
1-24.43%
0-30.66%
1-31.31%
2-31.29%
0-40.15%
1-40.29%
2-40.29%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Cagliari
Score0123
0
26.55%
10.89%
2.23%
0.31%
1
24.32%
9.97%
2.05%
0.28%
2
11.14%
4.57%
0.94%
0.13%
3
3.40%
1.40%
0.29%
0.04%
4
0.78%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Napoli
1-024.32%
2-011.14%
2-14.57%
3-03.40%
3-11.40%
3-20.29%
4-00.78%
4-10.32%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-026.55%
1-19.97%
2-20.94%
Cagliari
0-110.89%
0-22.23%
1-22.05%
0-30.31%
1-30.28%
2-30.13%