Sassuolo at Fiorentina

Updated

Sassuolo

33.8%25.5%40.7%
Sassuolo WinDrawFiorentina Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.49
2Final Score 2

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Sassuolo
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Lazio+135
T 2-2 at Spezia+135
T 2-2 vs Napoli+310
W 3-1 at Milan+530
T 2-2 vs Cagliari-150
Fiorentina
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Salernitana-350
W 3-2 at Bologna+155
W 1-3 vs Sampdoria-140
L 1-2 at Empoli-105
W 3-4 vs Milan+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sassuolo+275+280+315-+306+315+315+297.7
Fiorentina-105-115-115--117-115-115+104.5
Draw+255+290+285-+263+285+290+285.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sassuolo+295---+260+285+285+297.7
Fiorentina-115----125-110-110+104.5
Draw+280---+240+275+275+285.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sassuolo: 40.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sassuolo: 40.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sassuolo ML moved from +315 to +306
Fiorentina ML moved from -105 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sassuolo: 30.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sassuolo ML moved from +305 to +285
No Steam Moves On Fiorentina ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o3¼+105o3¼-102o3-120-o3¼-102o3-120o3-111
Underu2¾+102u3¼-125u3¼-118u3+105-u3¼-118u3¼-118u3+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-125--o3-130o3-125o3-125o3-111
Underu3-110u3+105--u3+100u3+105u3+105u3+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-122 to o3-120
The Under moved from u3+100 to u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%
 
No45.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.60%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 415.01%
Exactly 63.70%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.94%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.16%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 029.14%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 222.15%
Exactly 39.11%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 022.65%
Exactly 133.63%
Exactly 224.98%
Exactly 312.36%
Exactly 44.59%
Exactly 51.36%
Exactly 60.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.41%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 056.50%
Exactly 132.26%
Exactly 29.21%
Exactly 31.75%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 050.28%
Exactly 134.57%
Exactly 211.89%
Exactly 32.72%
Exactly 40.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals13.21%
Wins by 3+ goals4.34%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals20.98%
Wins by 3+ goals8.10%
Wins by 4+ goals2.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Sassuolo
Fiorentina
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal18.24%
Wins by 2 goals8.87%
Wins by 3 goals3.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal21.97%
Wins by 2 goals12.87%
Wins by 3 goals5.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.40%6.60%
1.575.46%24.54%
2.551.08%48.92%
3.528.99%71.01%
4.513.98%86.02%
5.55.82%94.18%
6.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.86%29.14%
1.534.93%65.07%
2.512.78%87.22%
3.53.67%96.33%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.35%22.65%
1.543.72%56.28%
2.518.74%81.26%
3.56.38%93.62%
4.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.59%28.41%
1.535.84%64.16%
2.513.35%86.65%
3.53.91%96.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
6.60%
9.80%
7.28%
3.60%
1.34%
0.40%
1
8.14%
12.08%
8.97%
4.44%
1.65%
0.49%
2
5.02%
7.45%
5.53%
2.74%
1.02%
0.30%
3
2.06%
3.06%
2.27%
1.13%
0.42%
0.12%
4
0.64%
0.94%
0.70%
0.35%
0.13%
0.04%
5
0.16%
0.23%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Sassuolo
1-08.14%
2-05.02%
2-17.45%
3-02.06%
3-13.06%
3-22.27%
4-00.64%
4-10.94%
4-20.70%
4-30.35%
5-00.16%
5-10.23%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-06.60%
1-112.08%
2-25.53%
3-31.13%
4-40.13%
Fiorentina
0-19.80%
0-27.28%
1-28.97%
0-33.60%
1-34.44%
2-32.74%
0-41.34%
1-41.65%
2-41.02%
3-40.42%
0-50.40%
1-50.49%
2-50.30%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Score01234
0
28.41%
19.53%
6.72%
1.54%
0.26%
1
16.22%
11.15%
3.83%
0.88%
0.15%
2
4.63%
3.18%
1.09%
0.25%
0.04%
3
0.88%
0.61%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sassuolo
1-016.22%
2-04.63%
2-13.18%
3-00.88%
3-10.61%
3-20.21%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-028.41%
1-111.15%
2-21.09%
Fiorentina
0-119.53%
0-26.72%
1-23.83%
0-31.54%
1-30.88%
2-30.25%
0-40.26%
1-40.15%