Lecce at Milan

Updated

Lecce

7.5%13.5%79.0%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.71
0Final Score 2

Milan

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sampdoria-125
L 2-1 vs Napoli+480
L 0-1 at Empoli+195
L 0-1 at Fiorentina+510
L 2-0 vs Torino+190
Milan
Money Line
T 1-1 at Bologna+175
T 0-0 vs Empoli-290
W 4-0 at Napoli+320
L 1-3 at Udinese+110
T 1-1 vs Salernitana-425

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+650+615+525+630+675+630+675+655.5
Milan-200-183-180-185-178-185-178-168.3
Draw+325+294+300+302+294+302+302+316.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+615---+560+630+630+655.5
Milan-200----235-195-195-168.3
Draw+310---+265+295+295+316.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +687 to +675
Milan ML moved from -180 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +600 to +560
Milan ML moved from -240 to -255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2-145o2¼-102o2¼-104o2½+135o2¼-104o2-145o2¼+105
Underu2¼+105u2+123u2¼-118u2¼-116u2½-150u2¼-116u2½-150u2¼-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+120--o2½+115o2-145o2-145o2¼+105
Underu2½-125u2½-140--u2½-145u2+125u2½-140u2¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.19%
Exactly 218.94%
Exactly 418.72%
Exactly 67.40%
Exactly 81.57%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 111.00%
Exactly 321.74%
Exactly 512.90%
Exactly 73.64%
Exactly 90.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 048.13%
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 212.87%
Exactly 33.14%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 06.63%
Exactly 117.99%
Exactly 224.41%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 414.98%
Exactly 58.13%
Exactly 63.68%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 80.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.30%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 45.47%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.37%
Exactly 313.72%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 071.28%
Exactly 124.13%
Exactly 24.09%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 028.47%
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 222.47%
Exactly 39.41%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals1.91%
Wins by 3+ goals0.35%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals58.35%
Wins by 3+ goals36.63%
Wins by 4+ goals19.56%
Wins by 5+ goals8.97%
Wins by 6+ goals3.57%
Wins by 7+ goals1.23%
Wins by 8+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal5.54%
Wins by 2 goals1.56%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal20.61%
Wins by 2 goals21.72%
Wins by 3 goals17.07%
Wins by 4 goals10.59%
Wins by 5 goals5.40%
Wins by 6 goals2.34%
Wins by 7 goals0.87%
Wins by 8 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.81%3.19%
1.585.81%14.19%
2.566.88%33.12%
3.545.13%54.87%
4.526.41%73.59%
5.513.51%86.49%
6.56.11%93.89%
7.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.87%48.13%
1.516.67%83.33%
2.53.80%96.20%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.37%6.63%
1.575.37%24.63%
2.550.96%49.04%
3.528.88%71.12%
4.513.91%86.09%
5.55.78%94.22%
6.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.70%20.30%
1.547.34%52.66%
2.521.53%78.47%
3.57.81%92.19%
4.52.34%97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Milan
Score012345
0
3.19%
8.66%
11.75%
10.63%
7.21%
3.91%
1
2.33%
6.33%
8.59%
7.77%
5.27%
2.86%
2
0.85%
2.32%
3.14%
2.84%
1.93%
1.05%
3
0.21%
0.56%
0.77%
0.69%
0.47%
0.25%
Lecce
1-02.33%
2-00.85%
2-12.32%
3-00.21%
3-10.56%
3-20.77%
Draw
0-03.19%
1-16.33%
2-23.14%
3-30.69%
Milan
0-18.66%
0-211.75%
1-28.59%
0-310.63%
1-37.77%
2-32.84%
0-47.21%
1-45.27%
2-41.93%
3-40.47%
0-53.91%
1-52.86%
2-51.05%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Milan
Score0123456
0
20.30%
25.50%
16.01%
6.71%
2.11%
0.53%
0.11%
1
6.87%
8.63%
5.42%
2.27%
0.71%
0.18%
0.04%
2
1.16%
1.46%
0.92%
0.38%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.13%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Lecce
1-06.87%
2-01.16%
2-11.46%
3-00.13%
3-10.16%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-020.30%
1-18.63%
2-20.92%
Milan
0-125.50%
0-216.01%
1-25.42%
0-36.71%
1-32.27%
2-30.38%
0-42.11%
1-40.71%
2-40.12%
0-50.53%
1-50.18%
0-60.11%