Milan at Inter

Updated

Milan

14.1%19.6%66.3%
WinDrawInter Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.12
2Final Score 1

Inter

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Venezia-385
T 2-2 at Lazio+160
L 1-2 at Parma-160
T 2-2 vs Torino-205
L 1-3 at Torino+205
Inter
Money Line
T 1-1 at Monza-260
W 0-4 vs Atalanta-206
W 0-2 vs Lecce-550
T 2-2 at Genoa-210
T 2-2 at Hellas Verona-225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+388-+370+450+448+450+450+469.2
Inter-141--145-150-150-150-145-137.9
Draw+299-+300+295+289+295+300+308.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+360-+410-+360+435+435+469.2
Inter-135--148--175-150-148-137.9
Draw+290-+285-+265+280+285+308.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 20.0%
Inter: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +380 to +370
Inter ML moved from -141 to -147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 10.0%
Inter: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +400 to +390
Inter ML moved from -135 to -155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-141o3+117o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾-102o2¾-110o2¾-102o2¾+100
Underu2½+120u3-138u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-112u2¾-110u3-138u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3+110o2½-138-o3+100o2½-140o2½-138o2¾+100
Underu2½+120u3-130u2½+118-u3-130u2½+120u3-130u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.10%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 416.67%
Exactly 64.92%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.17%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.93%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 042.29%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.66%
Exactly 34.49%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Inter
Exactly 012.05%
Exactly 125.50%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 319.03%
Exactly 410.07%
Exactly 54.26%
Exactly 61.50%
Exactly 70.45%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.20%
Exactly 223.94%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 311.00%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 067.14%
Exactly 126.75%
Exactly 25.33%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Inter
Exactly 037.54%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.02%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals4.34%
Wins by 3+ goals1.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Inter
Wins by 2+ goals42.17%
Wins by 3+ goals22.05%
Wins by 4+ goals9.60%
Wins by 5+ goals3.53%
Wins by 6+ goals1.11%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Inter
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Milan
Wins by 1 goal9.79%
Wins by 2 goals3.32%
Wins by 3 goals0.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Inter
Wins by 1 goal24.08%
Wins by 2 goals20.12%
Wins by 3 goals12.45%
Wins by 4 goals6.07%
Wins by 5 goals2.43%
Wins by 6 goals0.82%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.90%5.10%
1.579.74%20.26%
2.557.16%42.84%
3.534.76%65.24%
4.518.08%81.92%
5.58.16%91.84%
6.53.24%96.76%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.71%42.29%
1.521.31%78.69%
2.55.65%94.35%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Inter Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.95%12.05%
1.562.45%37.55%
2.535.47%64.53%
3.516.44%83.56%
4.56.37%93.63%
5.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.80%25.20%
1.540.06%59.94%
2.516.13%83.87%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Inter
Score012345
0
5.10%
10.78%
11.41%
8.05%
4.26%
1.80%
1
4.39%
9.28%
9.82%
6.93%
3.66%
1.55%
2
1.89%
3.99%
4.22%
2.98%
1.58%
0.67%
3
0.54%
1.15%
1.21%
0.85%
0.45%
0.19%
4
0.12%
0.25%
0.26%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
Milan
1-04.39%
2-01.89%
2-13.99%
3-00.54%
3-11.15%
3-21.21%
4-00.12%
4-10.25%
4-20.26%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.10%
1-19.28%
2-24.22%
3-30.85%
Inter
0-110.78%
0-211.41%
1-29.82%
0-38.05%
1-36.93%
2-32.98%
0-44.26%
1-43.66%
2-41.58%
3-40.45%
0-51.80%
1-51.55%
2-50.67%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Inter
Score012345
0
25.20%
24.69%
12.10%
3.95%
0.97%
0.19%
1
10.04%
9.84%
4.82%
1.57%
0.39%
0.08%
2
2.00%
1.96%
0.96%
0.31%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.27%
0.26%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-010.04%
2-02.00%
2-11.96%
3-00.27%
3-10.26%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-025.20%
1-19.84%
2-20.96%
Inter
0-124.69%
0-212.10%
1-24.82%
0-33.95%
1-31.57%
2-30.31%
0-40.97%
1-40.39%
0-50.19%