Fiorentina at Sassuolo

Updated

Fiorentina

35.2%26.2%38.6%
Fiorentina WinDrawSassuolo Win
1.27Projected Goals 1.35
3Final Score 1

Sassuolo

Last 5 Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Roma+130
T 1-1 at Torino+285
W 0-2 vs Udinese-115
L 0-1 at Napoli+350
T 3-3 at Salernitana-125
Sassuolo
Money Line
T 2-2 at Sampdoria-115
L 2-1 vs Monza+115
L 2-4 at Inter+585
T 1-1 vs Bologna+145
L 0-2 at Lazio+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+165+166+165+170+163+170+170+179.5
Sassuolo+150+157+150+155+149+155+157+163.9
Draw+270+263+265+267+261+267+267+279.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+165---+135+160+160+179.5
Sassuolo+145---+130+155+155+163.9
Draw+275---+270+265+270+279.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +167 to +161
Sassuolo ML moved from +156 to +148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +155 to +145
Sassuolo ML moved from +165 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-102o3-130o3-122o3-120o3¼+104o3-120o3-120o3-109
Underu3¼-118u3+110u3+102u3+100u3¼-126u3+100u3+110u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-130--o3-140o3-120o3-120o3-109
Underu3+115u3+110--u3+110u3+100u3+110u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3¼-107
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.26%
Exactly 224.97%
Exactly 414.32%
Exactly 63.29%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.03%
Exactly 321.83%
Exactly 57.51%
Exactly 71.23%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 027.93%
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 222.72%
Exactly 39.66%
Exactly 43.08%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 025.97%
Exactly 135.01%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 310.61%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.68%
Exactly 221.90%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 38.87%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 055.41%
Exactly 132.72%
Exactly 29.66%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 053.57%
Exactly 133.44%
Exactly 210.44%
Exactly 32.17%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals15.31%
Wins by 3+ goals5.21%
Wins by 4+ goals1.42%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%
Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals17.56%
Wins by 3+ goals6.27%
Wins by 4+ goals1.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Sassuolo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal19.84%
Wins by 2 goals10.10%
Wins by 3 goals3.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal20.97%
Wins by 2 goals11.28%
Wins by 3 goals4.48%
Wins by 4 goals1.39%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.74%7.26%
1.573.71%26.29%
2.548.74%51.26%
3.526.91%73.09%
4.512.59%87.41%
5.55.08%94.92%
6.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.07%27.93%
1.536.44%63.56%
2.513.72%86.28%
3.54.07%95.93%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.03%25.97%
1.539.01%60.99%
2.515.41%84.59%
3.54.80%95.20%
4.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.32%29.68%
1.534.27%65.73%
2.512.37%87.63%
3.53.51%96.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Score012345
0
7.26%
9.78%
6.59%
2.96%
1.00%
0.27%
1
9.25%
12.47%
8.41%
3.78%
1.27%
0.34%
2
5.90%
7.95%
5.36%
2.41%
0.81%
0.22%
3
2.51%
3.38%
2.28%
1.02%
0.35%
0.09%
4
0.80%
1.08%
0.73%
0.33%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.20%
0.28%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Fiorentina
1-09.25%
2-05.90%
2-17.95%
3-02.51%
3-13.38%
3-22.28%
4-00.80%
4-11.08%
4-20.73%
4-30.33%
5-00.20%
5-10.28%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-07.26%
1-112.47%
2-25.36%
3-31.02%
4-40.11%
Sassuolo
0-19.78%
0-26.59%
1-28.41%
0-32.96%
1-33.78%
2-32.41%
0-41.00%
1-41.27%
2-40.81%
3-40.35%
0-50.27%
1-50.34%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Score01234
0
29.68%
18.53%
5.78%
1.20%
0.19%
1
17.53%
10.94%
3.41%
0.71%
0.11%
2
5.17%
3.23%
1.01%
0.21%
0.03%
3
1.02%
0.64%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Fiorentina
1-017.53%
2-05.17%
2-13.23%
3-01.02%
3-10.64%
3-20.20%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-029.68%
1-110.94%
2-21.01%
Sassuolo
0-118.53%
0-25.78%
1-23.41%
0-31.20%
1-30.71%
2-30.21%
0-40.19%
1-40.11%