Milan at Atalanta

Updated

Milan

28.0%21.4%50.6%
Milan WinDrawAtalanta Win
1.10Projected Goals 2.00
3Final Score 2

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 2-1 at Spezia-195
W 0-2 vs Venezia-375
T 1-1 at Juventus+300
W 0-2 vs Lazio+130
W 1-4 vs Cagliari-215
Atalanta
Money Line
T 2-2 at Inter+275
W 1-2 vs Sassuolo-210
W 1-0 at Salernitana-380
L 2-1 vs Fiorentina-160
T 0-0 vs Bologna-330

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+215+235+235+253+242+235+253+260.9
Atalanta+125+110+115+115+108+115+115+119.8
Draw+260+265+265+265+248+265+265+273.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+240---+220+245+245+260.9
Atalanta+110----105+115+115+119.8
Draw+0---+230+240+240+273.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +251 to +238
Atalanta ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +260 to +245
Atalanta ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2¾-115o2¾-111o2¾-111-o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-105
Underu3-115u2¾-105u2¾-109u2¾+100-u2¾-109u2¾+100u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+120o2½-135--o2½-130o2½-145o2½-130o2¾-105
Underu3-140u2½+115--u2½+100u2½+125u2½+125u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-119 to u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.8%
 
No42.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.50%
Exactly 221.63%
Exactly 417.34%
Exactly 65.56%
Exactly 80.96%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.95%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.76%
Exactly 72.46%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 033.11%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 013.59%
Exactly 127.12%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.01%
Exactly 48.99%
Exactly 53.59%
Exactly 61.19%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.79%
Exactly 224.53%
Exactly 44.21%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.16%
Exactly 311.74%
Exactly 51.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 059.94%
Exactly 130.68%
Exactly 27.85%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 039.69%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.95%
Exactly 35.22%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals7.57%
Wins by 3+ goals2.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals34.62%
Wins by 3+ goals16.95%
Wins by 4+ goals6.88%
Wins by 5+ goals2.33%
Wins by 6+ goals0.63%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Atalanta
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Milan
Wins by 1 goal12.89%
Wins by 2 goals5.41%
Wins by 3 goals1.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal23.28%
Wins by 2 goals17.66%
Wins by 3 goals10.07%
Wins by 4 goals4.56%
Wins by 5 goals1.69%
Wins by 6 goals0.52%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.50%4.50%
1.581.55%18.45%
2.559.92%40.08%
3.537.55%62.45%
4.520.21%79.79%
5.59.45%90.55%
6.53.89%96.11%
7.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.89%33.11%
1.530.29%69.71%
2.510.07%89.93%
3.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.41%13.59%
1.559.29%40.71%
2.532.23%67.77%
3.514.22%85.78%
4.55.23%94.77%
5.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.21%23.79%
1.542.05%57.95%
2.517.53%82.47%
3.55.79%94.21%
4.51.57%98.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Atalanta
Score012345
0
4.50%
8.98%
8.96%
5.96%
2.98%
1.19%
1
4.97%
9.93%
9.91%
6.59%
3.29%
1.31%
2
2.75%
5.49%
5.47%
3.64%
1.82%
0.73%
3
1.01%
2.02%
2.02%
1.34%
0.67%
0.27%
4
0.28%
0.56%
0.56%
0.37%
0.19%
0.07%
Milan
1-04.97%
2-02.75%
2-15.49%
3-01.01%
3-12.02%
3-22.02%
4-00.28%
4-10.56%
4-20.56%
4-30.37%
Draw
0-04.50%
1-19.93%
2-25.47%
3-31.34%
4-40.19%
Atalanta
0-18.98%
0-28.96%
1-29.91%
0-35.96%
1-36.59%
2-33.64%
0-42.98%
1-43.29%
2-41.82%
3-40.67%
0-51.19%
1-51.31%
2-50.73%
3-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Atalanta
Score012345
0
23.79%
21.98%
10.16%
3.13%
0.72%
0.13%
1
12.17%
11.25%
5.20%
1.60%
0.37%
0.07%
2
3.12%
2.88%
1.33%
0.41%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.53%
0.49%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Milan
1-012.17%
2-03.12%
2-12.88%
3-00.53%
3-10.49%
3-20.23%
Draw
0-023.79%
1-111.25%
2-21.33%
Atalanta
0-121.98%
0-210.16%
1-25.20%
0-33.13%
1-31.60%
2-30.41%
0-40.72%
1-40.37%
0-50.13%