Milan at Monza

Updated

Milan

48.6%25.8%25.6%
Milan WinDrawMonza Win
1.51Projected Goals 1.03
2Final Score 4

Monza

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Napoli-105
W 3-2 at Frosinone-135
T 2-2 vs Bologna-140
W 3-2 at Udinese-115
W 1-3 vs Roma+110
Monza
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Hellas Verona+128
T 0-0 at Udinese+265
W 0-1 vs Sassuolo+118
L 0-3 at Empoli+168
L 5-1 vs Inter+750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-120--135-135-131-135-130-124.6
Monza+300-+380+435+406+435+435+453.9
Draw+280-+270+265+269+265+270+277.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-120--126--170-130-126-124.6
Monza+330-+390-+385+380+390+453.9
Draw+270-+243-+245+260+260+277.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Monza: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Monza: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -126 to -133
Monza ML moved from +427 to +420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Monza: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Monza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -130 to -143
Monza ML moved from +400 to +380

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o2½+102o2½-104o2½-101o2½-104o2½+102o2½+105
Underu2¾-115-u2½-122u2½-116u2½-115u2½-116u2½-115u2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+105o2½-102-o2½-105o2½+100o2½+105o2½+105
Underu2½-115u2½-125u2½-118-u2½-125u2½-120u2½-118u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-122 to u2½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.85%
Exactly 225.42%
Exactly 413.71%
Exactly 62.96%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 119.98%
Exactly 321.56%
Exactly 56.98%
Exactly 71.08%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 021.93%
Exactly 133.27%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 312.77%
Exactly 44.84%
Exactly 51.47%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Monza
Exactly 035.81%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.88%
Exactly 36.46%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.79%
Exactly 221.36%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 38.39%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 049.53%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 212.22%
Exactly 32.86%
Exactly 40.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monza
Exactly 062.16%
Exactly 129.55%
Exactly 27.03%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals24.55%
Wins by 3+ goals9.80%
Wins by 4+ goals3.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Monza
Wins by 2+ goals9.36%
Wins by 3+ goals2.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Monza
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.95%
Wins by 2 goals14.75%
Wins by 3 goals6.66%
Wins by 4 goals2.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Monza
Wins by 1 goal16.21%
Wins by 2 goals6.75%
Wins by 3 goals2.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.15%7.85%
1.572.17%27.83%
2.546.75%53.25%
3.525.19%74.81%
4.511.48%88.52%
5.54.50%95.50%
6.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.07%21.93%
1.544.80%55.20%
2.519.55%80.45%
3.56.78%93.22%
4.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals Monza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.19%35.81%
1.527.41%72.59%
2.58.53%91.47%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.21%30.79%
1.532.94%67.06%
2.511.58%88.42%
3.53.19%96.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Monza
Score01234
0
7.85%
8.06%
4.14%
1.42%
0.36%
1
11.92%
12.24%
6.28%
2.15%
0.55%
2
9.04%
9.28%
4.77%
1.63%
0.42%
3
4.57%
4.70%
2.41%
0.83%
0.21%
4
1.73%
1.78%
0.91%
0.31%
0.08%
5
0.53%
0.54%
0.28%
0.10%
0.02%
Milan
1-011.92%
2-09.04%
2-19.28%
3-04.57%
3-14.70%
3-22.41%
4-01.73%
4-11.78%
4-20.91%
4-30.31%
5-00.53%
5-10.54%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-07.85%
1-112.24%
2-24.77%
3-30.83%
Monza
0-18.06%
0-24.14%
1-26.28%
0-31.42%
1-32.15%
2-31.63%
0-40.36%
1-40.55%
2-40.42%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Monza
Score0123
0
30.79%
14.64%
3.48%
0.55%
1
21.63%
10.28%
2.44%
0.39%
2
7.60%
3.61%
0.86%
0.14%
3
1.78%
0.85%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.31%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Milan
1-021.63%
2-07.60%
2-13.61%
3-01.78%
3-10.85%
3-20.20%
4-00.31%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-030.79%
1-110.28%
2-20.86%
Monza
0-114.64%
0-23.48%
1-22.44%
0-30.55%
1-30.39%
2-30.14%