Monza at Atalanta

Updated

Monza

13.9%18.7%67.4%
WinDrawAtalanta Win
0.90Projected Goals 2.23
0Final Score 2

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Monza
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Venezia+115
W 3-0 at Hellas Verona+235
T 1-1 vs Roma+315
L 0-2 at Napoli+1050
L 2-1 vs Bologna+225
Atalanta
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Hellas Verona-335
W 2-0 at Venezia-165
W 1-5 vs Genoa-220
T 1-1 at Bologna+162
L 3-2 vs Como-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+675-+875+1075+889+1075+1075+1116.6
Atalanta-265--335-335-343-335-335-290.3
Draw+420-+460+455+457+455+460+474.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+800-+1000--+925+1000+1116.6
Atalanta-320--368---330-330-290.3
Draw+440-+470--+440+470+474.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 30.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 10.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monza ML moved from +915 to +889
Atalanta ML moved from -290 to -335

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 30.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monza ML moved from +810 to +750
Atalanta ML moved from -355 to -368

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120-o2¾-105o2¾-120o2¾-121o2¾-120o2¾-105o2¾-109
Underu2¾+100-u2¾-115u2¾+100u2¾-101u2¾+100u2¾+100u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o2½-135o2½-145-o3-115o2½-150o2½-135o2¾-109
Underu3-120u2½+115u2½+125-u3-115u2½+130u3-115u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.36%
Exactly 221.39%
Exactly 417.50%
Exactly 65.73%
Exactly 81.00%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.65%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.97%
Exactly 72.56%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Monza
Exactly 040.47%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.56%
Exactly 34.99%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 010.77%
Exactly 124.00%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 319.86%
Exactly 411.07%
Exactly 54.93%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 70.58%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.44%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 44.33%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.01%
Exactly 311.93%
Exactly 51.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monza
Exactly 065.78%
Exactly 127.55%
Exactly 25.77%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 035.63%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.97%
Exactly 36.52%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Monza
Wins by 2+ goals4.38%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals43.93%
Wins by 3+ goals23.74%
Wins by 4+ goals10.73%
Wins by 5+ goals4.12%
Wins by 6+ goals1.34%
Wins by 7+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Monza
Atalanta
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Monza
Wins by 1 goal9.50%
Wins by 2 goals3.32%
Wins by 3 goals0.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal23.40%
Wins by 2 goals20.19%
Wins by 3 goals13.01%
Wins by 4 goals6.62%
Wins by 5 goals2.77%
Wins by 6 goals0.98%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.64%4.36%
1.581.99%18.01%
2.560.60%39.40%
3.538.26%61.74%
4.520.76%79.24%
5.59.80%90.20%
6.54.07%95.93%
7.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Monza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.53%40.47%
1.522.92%77.08%
2.56.36%93.64%
3.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.23%10.77%
1.565.24%34.76%
2.538.50%61.50%
3.518.63%81.37%
4.57.56%92.44%
5.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.56%23.44%
1.542.55%57.45%
2.517.89%82.11%
3.55.96%94.04%
4.51.64%98.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Monza
Atalanta
Score012345
0
4.36%
9.71%
10.82%
8.04%
4.48%
2.00%
1
3.94%
8.79%
9.79%
7.27%
4.05%
1.81%
2
1.78%
3.97%
4.43%
3.29%
1.83%
0.82%
3
0.54%
1.20%
1.34%
0.99%
0.55%
0.25%
4
0.12%
0.27%
0.30%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
Monza
1-03.94%
2-01.78%
2-13.97%
3-00.54%
3-11.20%
3-21.34%
4-00.12%
4-10.27%
4-20.30%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-04.36%
1-18.79%
2-24.43%
3-30.99%
4-40.13%
Atalanta
0-19.71%
0-210.82%
1-29.79%
0-38.04%
1-37.27%
2-33.29%
0-44.48%
1-44.05%
2-41.83%
3-40.55%
0-52.00%
1-51.81%
2-50.82%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Monza
Atalanta
Score012345
0
23.44%
24.19%
12.48%
4.29%
1.11%
0.23%
1
9.82%
10.13%
5.23%
1.80%
0.46%
0.10%
2
2.06%
2.12%
1.09%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.29%
0.30%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Monza
1-09.82%
2-02.06%
2-12.12%
3-00.29%
3-10.30%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-023.44%
1-110.13%
2-21.09%
Atalanta
0-124.19%
0-212.48%
1-25.23%
0-34.29%
1-31.80%
2-30.38%
0-41.11%
1-40.46%
0-50.23%