Roma at Lecce

Updated

Roma

54.7%23.4%21.9%
Roma WinDrawLecce Win
1.76Projected Goals 1.03
0Final Score 0

Lecce

Last 5 Games

Roma
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sassuolo-239
T 2-2 at Fiorentina+195
W 4-1 at Monza+105
W 2-3 vs Torino-102
W 3-0 at Frosinone+103
Lecce
Money Line
W 1-0 at Salernitana+135
L 1-0 vs Hellas Verona+125
T 1-1 at Frosinone+223
L 4-0 vs Inter+610
L 0-2 at Torino+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma-109+115+115+124+113+124+124+131.9
Lecce+323+289+275+283+300+283+300+296.6
Draw+254+214+215+205+217+205+217+215.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma-115-+113--125+115+115+131.9
Lecce+360-+292-+320+280+320+296.6
Draw+235-+205-+200+210+210+215.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 20.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +100 to -105
Lecce ML moved from +285 to +275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 10.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
Lecce: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +100 to -105
Lecce ML moved from +330 to +280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+101o2-127o2-122o2-125o2-119o2-125o2-119o2-114
Underu2½-119u2+107u2+102u2+105u2+103u2+105u2+107u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2-130o2-120-o2½+115o2-130o2-120o2-114
Underu2½-130u2+110u2+100-u2½-145u2+110u2½-145u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¼-110 to u2+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.12%
Exactly 223.88%
Exactly 415.53%
Exactly 64.04%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.10%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.67%
Exactly 71.61%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 017.11%
Exactly 130.21%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 315.69%
Exactly 46.92%
Exactly 52.44%
Exactly 60.72%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 035.78%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.90%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.44%
Exactly 222.94%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 39.89%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 044.16%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 214.75%
Exactly 34.02%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 062.13%
Exactly 129.57%
Exactly 27.04%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Roma
Wins by 2+ goals30.55%
Wins by 3+ goals13.76%
Wins by 4+ goals5.09%
Wins by 5+ goals1.56%
Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals7.84%
Wins by 3+ goals2.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Roma
Lecce
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Roma
Wins by 1 goal24.07%
Wins by 2 goals16.79%
Wins by 3 goals8.67%
Wins by 4 goals3.52%
Wins by 5 goals1.17%
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal14.01%
Wins by 2 goals5.69%
Wins by 3 goals1.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.88%6.12%
1.576.77%23.23%
2.552.89%47.11%
3.530.65%69.35%
4.515.12%84.88%
5.56.45%93.55%
6.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.89%17.11%
1.552.68%47.32%
2.526.01%73.99%
3.510.32%89.68%
4.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.22%35.78%
1.527.45%72.55%
2.58.55%91.45%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.56%27.44%
1.537.08%62.92%
2.514.13%85.87%
3.54.24%95.76%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Roma
Lecce
Score01234
0
6.12%
6.29%
3.23%
1.11%
0.28%
1
10.81%
11.11%
5.71%
1.96%
0.50%
2
9.54%
9.81%
5.04%
1.73%
0.44%
3
5.61%
5.77%
2.97%
1.02%
0.26%
4
2.48%
2.55%
1.31%
0.45%
0.12%
5
0.87%
0.90%
0.46%
0.16%
0.04%
Roma
1-010.81%
2-09.54%
2-19.81%
3-05.61%
3-15.77%
3-22.97%
4-02.48%
4-12.55%
4-21.31%
4-30.45%
5-00.87%
5-10.90%
5-20.46%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-06.12%
1-111.11%
2-25.04%
3-31.02%
4-40.12%
Lecce
0-16.29%
0-23.23%
1-25.71%
0-31.11%
1-31.96%
2-31.73%
0-40.28%
1-40.50%
2-40.44%
3-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Roma
Lecce
Score0123
0
27.44%
13.06%
3.11%
0.49%
1
22.43%
10.67%
2.54%
0.40%
2
9.17%
4.36%
1.04%
0.16%
3
2.50%
1.19%
0.28%
0.04%
4
0.51%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
Roma
1-022.43%
2-09.17%
2-14.36%
3-02.50%
3-11.19%
3-20.28%
4-00.51%
4-10.24%
Draw
0-027.44%
1-110.67%
2-21.04%
Lecce
0-113.06%
0-23.11%
1-22.54%
0-30.49%
1-30.40%
2-30.16%