Cagliari at Milan

Updated

Cagliari

6.9%13.7%79.4%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.64Projected Goals 2.61
1Final Score 5

Milan

Last 5 Games

Cagliari
Money Line
L 0-3 at Genoa+245
T 2-2 vs Juventus+376
T 2-2 at Inter+1500
W 1-2 vs Atalanta+377
T 1-1 vs Hellas Verona+115
Milan
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Genoa-225
T 0-0 at Juventus+270
L 2-1 vs Inter+270
T 3-3 at Sassuolo-125
W 2-1 at Fiorentina+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cagliari+603+438+400+443+440+443+443+462.1
Milan-225-162-170-165-176-165-162-151.0
Draw+387+323+350+338+336+338+350+353.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cagliari+590-+430+450+425+420+450+462.1
Milan-245--169-200-230-170-169-151.0
Draw+410-+325+320+315+335+335+353.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cagliari: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cagliari: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cagliari: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cagliari ML moved from +400 to +390
Milan ML moved from -190 to -196

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cagliari: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cagliari: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cagliari: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cagliari ML moved from +480 to +430
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-113o3+107o2¾-122o2¾-118o2¾-120o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-107
Underu3-103u3-125u2¾+102u2¾-102u2¾+104u2¾-102u3-125u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-105o3+115o3-105o3-110o3+100o3+115o2¾-107
Underu3-115u3-115u3-135u3-115u3-120u3-120u3-115u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.87%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 418.04%
Exactly 66.36%
Exactly 81.20%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.58%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 511.74%
Exactly 72.96%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Cagliari
Exactly 052.44%
Exactly 133.85%
Exactly 210.92%
Exactly 32.35%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 07.37%
Exactly 119.22%
Exactly 225.06%
Exactly 321.78%
Exactly 414.20%
Exactly 57.41%
Exactly 63.22%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 80.39%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.18%
Exactly 225.15%
Exactly 44.76%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.40%
Exactly 312.63%
Exactly 51.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cagliari
Exactly 074.17%
Exactly 122.16%
Exactly 23.31%
Exactly 30.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 029.90%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cagliari
Wins by 2+ goals1.63%
Wins by 3+ goals0.27%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals58.04%
Wins by 3+ goals35.78%
Wins by 4+ goals18.66%
Wins by 5+ goals8.33%
Wins by 6+ goals3.22%
Wins by 7+ goals1.08%
Wins by 8+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Cagliari
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Cagliari
Wins by 1 goal5.27%
Wins by 2 goals1.35%
Wins by 3 goals0.25%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal21.30%
Wins by 2 goals22.25%
Wins by 3 goals17.12%
Wins by 4 goals10.33%
Wins by 5 goals5.11%
Wins by 6 goals2.14%
Wins by 7 goals0.77%
Wins by 8 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.13%3.87%
1.583.56%16.44%
2.563.11%36.89%
3.540.93%59.07%
4.522.89%77.11%
5.511.15%88.85%
6.54.79%95.21%
7.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Cagliari Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.56%52.44%
1.513.71%86.29%
2.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.63%7.37%
1.573.41%26.59%
2.548.35%51.65%
3.526.57%73.43%
4.512.37%87.63%
5.54.96%95.04%
6.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.82%22.18%
1.544.42%55.58%
2.519.27%80.73%
3.56.64%93.36%
4.51.89%98.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cagliari
Milan
Score012345
0
3.87%
10.08%
13.14%
11.42%
7.45%
3.88%
1
2.50%
6.51%
8.48%
7.37%
4.81%
2.51%
2
0.81%
2.10%
2.74%
2.38%
1.55%
0.81%
3
0.17%
0.45%
0.59%
0.51%
0.33%
0.17%
Cagliari
1-02.50%
2-00.81%
2-12.10%
3-00.17%
3-10.45%
3-20.59%
Draw
0-03.87%
1-16.51%
2-22.74%
3-30.51%
Milan
0-110.08%
0-213.14%
1-28.48%
0-311.42%
1-37.37%
2-32.38%
0-47.45%
1-44.81%
2-41.55%
3-40.33%
0-53.88%
1-52.51%
2-50.81%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Cagliari
Milan
Score012345
0
22.18%
26.77%
16.16%
6.50%
1.96%
0.47%
1
6.63%
8.00%
4.83%
1.94%
0.59%
0.14%
2
0.99%
1.20%
0.72%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
Cagliari
1-06.63%
2-00.99%
2-11.20%
Draw
0-022.18%
1-18.00%
2-20.72%
Milan
0-126.77%
0-216.16%
1-24.83%
0-36.50%
1-31.94%
2-30.29%
0-41.96%
1-40.59%
0-50.47%
1-50.14%