Lecce at Napoli

Updated

Lecce

6.1%11.5%82.4%
WinDrawNapoli Win
0.72Projected Goals 2.97
1Final Score 1

Napoli

Last Games

Lecce
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Empoli+125
L 0-1 at Sassuolo+300
L 2-1 vs Inter+875
Napoli
Money Line
T 0-0 at Fiorentina+110
W 0-4 vs Monza-320
W 5-2 at Hellas Verona-105
W 3-0 at Spezia-150
W 0-3 vs Genoa-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+850+975+825+950+915+950+975+1003.1
Napoli-325-341-335-345-390-345-335-286.7
Draw+440+476+460+505+479+505+505+495.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+1000----+1000+1000+1003.1
Napoli-400-----365-365-286.7
Draw+525----+475+475+495.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Napoli: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +850 to +825
Napoli ML moved from -345 to -360

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Napoli: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +1050 to +1000
Napoli ML moved from -400 to -410

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-122o3-115o3-115-o3-115o3-115o3-106
Underu3-115u3+104u3-105u3-105-u3-105u3+104u3+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-115--o3-125o3-115o3-115o3-106
Underu3+115u3-105--u3-105u3-105u3-105u3+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-115 to u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+115 to u3-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.51%
Exactly 217.03%
Exactly 419.29%
Exactly 68.74%
Exactly 82.12%
Exactly 100.32%
 
Exactly 19.24%
Exactly 320.92%
Exactly 514.22%
Exactly 74.60%
Exactly 90.87%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 048.70%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 212.61%
Exactly 33.02%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 05.15%
Exactly 115.27%
Exactly 222.65%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.62%
Exactly 59.86%
Exactly 64.88%
Exactly 72.07%
Exactly 80.77%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.14%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 46.42%
Exactly 60.62%
 
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 315.04%
Exactly 52.19%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 071.67%
Exactly 123.88%
Exactly 23.98%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 025.32%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 223.89%
Exactly 310.94%
Exactly 43.76%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals1.50%
Wins by 3+ goals0.27%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals63.55%
Wins by 3+ goals42.25%
Wins by 4+ goals24.12%
Wins by 5+ goals11.89%
Wins by 6+ goals5.09%
Wins by 7+ goals1.89%
Wins by 8+ goals0.58%
Wins by 9+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Napoli
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal4.53%
Wins by 2 goals1.23%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal18.75%
Wins by 2 goals21.30%
Wins by 3 goals18.13%
Wins by 4 goals12.23%
Wins by 5 goals6.79%
Wins by 6 goals3.20%
Wins by 7 goals1.31%
Wins by 8 goals0.46%
Wins by 9 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.49%2.51%
1.588.26%11.74%
2.571.23%28.77%
3.550.31%49.69%
4.531.02%68.98%
5.516.80%83.20%
6.58.06%91.94%
7.53.46%96.54%
8.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.30%48.70%
1.516.26%83.74%
2.53.66%96.34%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.85%5.15%
1.579.59%20.41%
2.556.94%43.06%
3.534.54%65.46%
4.517.92%82.08%
5.58.06%91.94%
6.53.19%96.81%
7.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.86%18.14%
1.550.89%49.11%
2.524.46%75.54%
3.59.42%90.58%
4.53.01%96.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Napoli
Score012345
0
2.51%
7.43%
11.03%
10.91%
8.09%
4.80%
1
1.80%
5.35%
7.94%
7.85%
5.82%
3.45%
2
0.65%
1.92%
2.86%
2.82%
2.09%
1.24%
3
0.16%
0.46%
0.68%
0.68%
0.50%
0.30%
Lecce
1-01.80%
2-00.65%
2-11.92%
3-00.16%
3-10.46%
3-20.68%
Draw
0-02.51%
1-15.35%
2-22.86%
3-30.68%
Napoli
0-17.43%
0-211.03%
1-27.94%
0-310.91%
1-37.85%
2-32.82%
0-48.09%
1-45.82%
2-42.09%
3-40.50%
0-54.80%
1-53.45%
2-51.24%
3-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Napoli
Score0123456
0
18.14%
24.92%
17.12%
7.84%
2.69%
0.74%
0.17%
1
6.04%
8.30%
5.70%
2.61%
0.90%
0.25%
0.06%
2
1.01%
1.38%
0.95%
0.44%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.15%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Lecce
1-06.04%
2-01.01%
2-11.38%
3-00.11%
3-10.15%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-018.14%
1-18.30%
2-20.95%
Napoli
0-124.92%
0-217.12%
1-25.70%
0-37.84%
1-32.61%
2-30.44%
0-42.69%
1-40.90%
2-40.15%
0-50.74%
1-50.25%
0-60.17%