Salernitana at Napoli

Updated

Salernitana

4.7%10.5%84.8%
WinDrawNapoli Win
0.59Projected Goals 2.97
1Final Score 1

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Salernitana
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Sassuolo+210
T 1-1 at Torino+515
T 1-1 vs Inter+525
T 1-1 at Spezia+220
T 2-2 vs Bologna+260
Napoli
Money Line
W 1-0 at Juventus+150
T 0-0 vs Hellas Verona-200
W 2-1 at Lecce-150
L 4-0 vs Milan+100
W 4-0 at Torino-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Salernitana+1180+1369+1300+1450+1442+1450+1450+1503.3
Napoli-403-498-550-495-490-495-490-410.9
Draw+522+619+600+625+612+625+625+649.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Salernitana+1150----+1225+1225+1503.3
Napoli-415-----485-485-410.9
Draw+500----+585+585+649.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Salernitana: 0.0%
Napoli: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Salernitana: 10.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Salernitana ML moved from +1470 to +1442
Napoli ML moved from -474 to -490

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Salernitana: 0.0%
Napoli: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Salernitana: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Salernitana ML moved from +1250 to +1175
Napoli ML moved from -450 to -480

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+103o3-125o3-120o3-122o3-122o3-122o3-120o3-111
Underu3-121u3+107u3+100u3+102u3+107u3+102u3+107u3+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3+100--o3-120o3-120o3+100o3-111
Underu3-125u3-120--u3-110u3+100u3+100u3+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-122
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.3%
 
No57.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.84%
Exactly 218.01%
Exactly 419.04%
Exactly 68.05%
Exactly 81.82%
Exactly 100.26%
 
Exactly 110.12%
Exactly 321.38%
Exactly 513.56%
Exactly 74.09%
Exactly 90.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Salernitana
Exactly 055.36%
Exactly 132.73%
Exactly 29.68%
Exactly 31.91%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 05.13%
Exactly 115.24%
Exactly 222.63%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.63%
Exactly 59.88%
Exactly 64.89%
Exactly 72.07%
Exactly 80.77%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.23%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 45.92%
Exactly 60.54%
 
Exactly 131.70%
Exactly 314.36%
Exactly 51.95%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Salernitana
Exactly 076.05%
Exactly 120.82%
Exactly 22.85%
Exactly 30.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 025.28%
Exactly 134.76%
Exactly 223.90%
Exactly 310.96%
Exactly 43.77%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Salernitana
Wins by 2+ goals1.01%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals66.36%
Wins by 3+ goals44.69%
Wins by 4+ goals25.78%
Wins by 5+ goals12.83%
Wins by 6+ goals5.54%
Wins by 7+ goals2.08%
Wins by 8+ goals0.65%
Wins by 9+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Salernitana
Napoli
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Salernitana
Wins by 1 goal3.65%
Wins by 2 goals0.85%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal18.36%
Wins by 2 goals21.67%
Wins by 3 goals18.90%
Wins by 4 goals12.96%
Wins by 5 goals7.29%
Wins by 6 goals3.47%
Wins by 7 goals1.43%
Wins by 8 goals0.51%
Wins by 9 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.16%2.84%
1.587.04%12.96%
2.569.03%30.97%
3.547.65%52.35%
4.528.62%71.38%
5.515.06%84.94%
6.57.01%92.99%
7.52.92%97.08%
8.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Salernitana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.64%55.36%
1.511.90%88.10%
2.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.87%5.13%
1.579.63%20.37%
2.557.00%43.00%
3.534.60%65.40%
4.517.97%82.03%
5.58.09%91.91%
6.53.20%96.80%
7.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.77%19.23%
1.549.07%50.93%
2.522.93%77.07%
3.58.57%91.43%
4.52.65%97.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Salernitana
Napoli
Score012345
0
2.84%
8.44%
12.53%
12.40%
9.21%
5.47%
1
1.68%
4.99%
7.41%
7.33%
5.44%
3.23%
2
0.50%
1.47%
2.19%
2.17%
1.61%
0.96%
Salernitana
1-01.68%
2-00.50%
2-11.47%
Draw
0-02.84%
1-14.99%
2-22.19%
3-30.43%
Napoli
0-18.44%
0-212.53%
1-27.41%
0-312.40%
1-37.33%
2-32.17%
0-49.21%
1-45.44%
2-41.61%
3-40.32%
0-55.47%
1-53.23%
2-50.96%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Salernitana
Napoli
Score0123456
0
19.23%
26.44%
18.18%
8.33%
2.86%
0.79%
0.18%
1
5.26%
7.24%
4.98%
2.28%
0.78%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.72%
0.99%
0.68%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Salernitana
1-05.26%
2-00.72%
2-10.99%
Draw
0-019.23%
1-17.24%
2-20.68%
Napoli
0-126.44%
0-218.18%
1-24.98%
0-38.33%
1-32.28%
2-30.31%
0-42.86%
1-40.78%
2-40.11%
0-50.79%
1-50.22%
0-60.18%