Lecce at Spezia

Updated

Lecce

28.5%25.0%46.4%
Lecce WinDrawSpezia Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.57
0Final Score 0

Spezia

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Lazio+275
W 2-0 at Sampdoria+185
W 1-2 vs Atalanta+270
T 1-1 at Udinese+455
L 1-0 vs Juventus+280
Spezia
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Atalanta+355
W 2-1 at Hellas Verona+245
T 1-1 vs Udinese+290
L 1-2 at Milan+1200
L 2-1 vs Fiorentina+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+185+227+220+235+238+235+238+245.1
Spezia+160+140+135+140+144+140+144+149.2
Draw+220+216+215+215+217+215+217+223.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+195---+180+205+205+245.1
Spezia+170---+140+150+150+149.2
Draw+190---+185+210+210+223.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Spezia: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +200 to +192
Spezia ML moved from +164 to +147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Spezia: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Spezia: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Lecce ML
Spezia ML moved from +160 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2½+116o2¼-115o2¼-111o2-154o2¼-111o2¼-105o2-145
Underu2¼-110u2½-136u2¼-105u2¼-109u2+139u2¼-109u2½-140u2+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+130o2½+125--o2½+115o2½+125o2½+125o2-145
Underu2½-150u2½-145--u2½-145u2½-145u2½-145u2+145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%
 
No45.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.48%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 415.14%
Exactly 63.78%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.73%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 58.29%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 030.99%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 020.90%
Exactly 132.72%
Exactly 225.61%
Exactly 313.36%
Exactly 45.23%
Exactly 51.64%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.17%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 058.14%
Exactly 131.53%
Exactly 28.55%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 048.45%
Exactly 135.11%
Exactly 212.72%
Exactly 33.07%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals11.46%
Wins by 3+ goals3.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals23.57%
Wins by 3+ goals9.52%
Wins by 4+ goals3.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.79%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Spezia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal17.03%
Wins by 2 goals7.87%
Wins by 3 goals2.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal22.75%
Wins by 2 goals14.04%
Wins by 3 goals6.42%
Wins by 4 goals2.31%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.52%6.48%
1.575.79%24.21%
2.551.53%48.47%
3.529.40%70.60%
4.514.26%85.74%
5.55.97%94.03%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.01%30.99%
1.532.70%67.30%
2.511.44%88.56%
3.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.10%20.90%
1.546.38%53.62%
2.520.77%79.23%
3.57.41%92.59%
4.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.83%28.17%
1.536.15%63.85%
2.513.54%86.46%
3.53.99%96.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Spezia
Score012345
0
6.48%
10.14%
7.94%
4.14%
1.62%
0.51%
1
7.59%
11.88%
9.30%
4.85%
1.90%
0.59%
2
4.45%
6.96%
5.45%
2.84%
1.11%
0.35%
3
1.74%
2.72%
2.13%
1.11%
0.43%
0.14%
4
0.51%
0.80%
0.62%
0.32%
0.13%
0.04%
5
0.12%
0.19%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Lecce
1-07.59%
2-04.45%
2-16.96%
3-01.74%
3-12.72%
3-22.13%
4-00.51%
4-10.80%
4-20.62%
4-30.32%
5-00.12%
5-10.19%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-06.48%
1-111.88%
2-25.45%
3-31.11%
4-40.13%
Spezia
0-110.14%
0-27.94%
1-29.30%
0-34.14%
1-34.85%
2-32.84%
0-41.62%
1-41.90%
2-41.11%
3-40.43%
0-50.51%
1-50.59%
2-50.35%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Spezia
Score01234
0
28.17%
20.41%
7.40%
1.79%
0.32%
1
15.28%
11.07%
4.01%
0.97%
0.18%
2
4.14%
3.00%
1.09%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.75%
0.54%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Lecce
1-015.28%
2-04.14%
2-13.00%
3-00.75%
3-10.54%
3-20.20%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-028.17%
1-111.07%
2-21.09%
Spezia
0-120.41%
0-27.40%
1-24.01%
0-31.79%
1-30.97%
2-30.26%
0-40.32%
1-40.18%