Como at Napoli

Updated

Como

7.5%13.6%79.0%
WinDrawNapoli Win
0.72Projected Goals 2.68

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Como
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Hellas Verona+105
W 3-2 at Atalanta+575
T 2-2 vs Bologna+204
L 0-1 at Udinese+240
T 1-1 at Cagliari+227
Napoli
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Monza-350
T 0-0 at Juventus+240
W 4-0 at Cagliari-115
W 1-2 vs Parma-225
W 0-3 vs Bologna-102

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Como+590+590+500+640+640+640+640+665.7
Napoli-214-214-200-217-217-217-200-195.5
Draw+369+369+360+365+365+365+369+381.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Como-----+665.7
Napoli------195.5
Draw-----+381.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Como: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Como: 0.0%
Napoli: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Como: 10.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Como ML moved from +525 to +500
Napoli ML moved from -200 to -210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-140o2¾-108o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾-110o2½-140o2¾+100
Underu2½+119u2½+119u2¾-112u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+100
Under-----u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.35%
Exactly 219.33%
Exactly 418.57%
Exactly 67.14%
Exactly 81.47%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.38%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 512.61%
Exactly 73.46%
Exactly 90.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Como
Exactly 049.00%
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 212.47%
Exactly 32.96%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 06.84%
Exactly 118.35%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 414.75%
Exactly 57.91%
Exactly 63.54%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 80.45%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.76%
Exactly 225.66%
Exactly 45.28%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.64%
Exactly 313.44%
Exactly 51.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Como
Exactly 071.87%
Exactly 123.74%
Exactly 23.92%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 028.89%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 39.22%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Como
Wins by 2+ goals1.86%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals58.10%
Wins by 3+ goals36.26%
Wins by 4+ goals19.22%
Wins by 5+ goals8.74%
Wins by 6+ goals3.44%
Wins by 7+ goals1.18%
Wins by 8+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Como
Napoli
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Como
Wins by 1 goal5.52%
Wins by 2 goals1.53%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal20.82%
Wins by 2 goals21.84%
Wins by 3 goals17.04%
Wins by 4 goals10.48%
Wins by 5 goals5.30%
Wins by 6 goals2.27%
Wins by 7 goals0.84%
Wins by 8 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.65%3.35%
1.585.26%14.74%
2.565.94%34.06%
3.544.06%55.94%
4.525.50%74.50%
5.512.89%87.11%
6.55.75%94.25%
7.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Como Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.00%49.00%
1.516.04%83.96%
2.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.16%6.84%
1.574.81%25.19%
2.550.20%49.80%
3.528.20%71.80%
4.513.44%86.56%
5.55.53%94.47%
6.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.24%20.76%
1.546.60%53.40%
2.520.95%79.05%
3.57.50%92.50%
4.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Como
Napoli
Score012345
0
3.35%
8.99%
12.06%
10.78%
7.23%
3.88%
1
2.39%
6.41%
8.60%
7.69%
5.16%
2.77%
2
0.85%
2.29%
3.07%
2.74%
1.84%
0.99%
3
0.20%
0.54%
0.73%
0.65%
0.44%
0.23%
Como
1-02.39%
2-00.85%
2-12.29%
3-00.20%
3-10.54%
3-20.73%
Draw
0-03.35%
1-16.41%
2-23.07%
3-30.65%
Napoli
0-18.99%
0-212.06%
1-28.60%
0-310.78%
1-37.69%
2-32.74%
0-47.23%
1-45.16%
2-41.84%
3-40.44%
0-53.88%
1-52.77%
2-50.99%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Como
Napoli
Score0123456
0
20.76%
25.78%
16.01%
6.63%
2.06%
0.51%
0.11%
1
6.86%
8.51%
5.29%
2.19%
0.68%
0.17%
0.03%
2
1.13%
1.41%
0.87%
0.36%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.12%
0.15%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Como
1-06.86%
2-01.13%
2-11.41%
3-00.12%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-020.76%
1-18.51%
2-20.87%
Napoli
0-125.78%
0-216.01%
1-25.29%
0-36.63%
1-32.19%
2-30.36%
0-42.06%
1-40.68%
2-40.11%
0-50.51%
1-50.17%
0-60.11%