Monza at Spezia

Updated

Monza

35.7%28.0%36.3%
Monza WinDrawSpezia Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.18
2Final Score 0

Spezia

Last 5 Games

Monza
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Fiorentina+240
W 1-0 at Inter+685
T 2-2 at Udinese+310
L 2-0 vs Lazio+270
T 1-1 vs Cremonese-110
Spezia
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sampdoria+170
L 3-0 vs Lazio+370
T 1-1 at Fiorentina+650
T 1-1 vs Salernitana+135
L 0-1 at Sassuolo+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+163-+160+170-+170+170+179.4
Spezia+181-+175+178-+178+178+187.7
Draw+235-+230+228-+228+230+239.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+160---+140+155+155+179.4
Spezia+170---+150+180+180+187.7
Draw+240---+220+230+230+239.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 0.0%
Spezia: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Monza: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Monza ML
Spezia ML moved from +185 to +178

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 0.0%
Spezia: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Monza: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Monza ML
No Steam Moves On Spezia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-123-o2¼-115o2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼+100
Underu2¼+103-u2¼-105u2¼-110-u2¼-110u2¼-105u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+110--o2½+100o2½+110o2½+110o2¼+100
Underu2½-130u2½-130--u2½-130u2½-130u2½-130u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.53%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 412.12%
Exactly 62.23%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.41%
Exactly 320.63%
Exactly 55.70%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Monza
Exactly 031.04%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.24%
Exactly 38.28%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 030.71%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.40%
Exactly 38.42%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.68%
Exactly 219.94%
Exactly 41.97%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.23%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monza
Exactly 058.18%
Exactly 131.51%
Exactly 28.53%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 057.89%
Exactly 131.64%
Exactly 28.65%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Monza
Wins by 2+ goals14.87%
Wins by 3+ goals4.77%
Wins by 4+ goals1.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%
Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals15.20%
Wins by 3+ goals4.92%
Wins by 4+ goals1.27%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Monza
Spezia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Monza
Wins by 1 goal20.85%
Wins by 2 goals10.10%
Wins by 3 goals3.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal21.04%
Wins by 2 goals10.28%
Wins by 3 goals3.65%
Wins by 4 goals1.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.47%9.53%
1.568.06%31.94%
2.541.72%58.28%
3.521.09%78.91%
4.58.97%91.03%
5.53.28%96.72%
6.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Monza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.96%31.04%
1.532.64%67.36%
2.511.40%88.60%
3.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.29%30.71%
1.533.03%66.97%
2.511.63%88.37%
3.53.21%96.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.32%33.68%
1.529.66%70.34%
2.59.72%90.28%
3.52.49%97.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Monza
Spezia
Score012345
0
9.53%
11.26%
6.64%
2.61%
0.77%
0.18%
1
11.15%
13.17%
7.77%
3.06%
0.90%
0.21%
2
6.52%
7.70%
4.55%
1.79%
0.53%
0.12%
3
2.54%
3.00%
1.77%
0.70%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.74%
0.88%
0.52%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Monza
1-011.15%
2-06.52%
2-17.70%
3-02.54%
3-13.00%
3-21.77%
4-00.74%
4-10.88%
4-20.52%
4-30.20%
5-00.17%
5-10.21%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.53%
1-113.17%
2-24.55%
3-30.70%
Spezia
0-111.26%
0-26.64%
1-27.77%
0-32.61%
1-33.06%
2-31.79%
0-40.77%
1-40.90%
2-40.53%
3-40.21%
0-50.18%
1-50.21%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Monza
Spezia
Score01234
0
33.68%
18.41%
5.03%
0.92%
0.13%
1
18.24%
9.97%
2.72%
0.50%
0.07%
2
4.94%
2.70%
0.74%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.89%
0.49%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Monza
1-018.24%
2-04.94%
2-12.70%
3-00.89%
3-10.49%
3-20.13%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-033.68%
1-19.97%
2-20.74%
Spezia
0-118.41%
0-25.03%
1-22.72%
0-30.92%
1-30.50%
2-30.13%
0-40.13%
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