Milan at Sassuolo

Updated

Milan

48.2%24.3%27.6%
Milan WinDrawSassuolo Win
1.65Projected Goals 1.20
3Final Score 0

Sassuolo

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Atalanta-115
W 3-1 at Hellas Verona-150
W 0-1 vs Fiorentina-160
W 2-1 at Lazio+135
W 0-2 vs Genoa-280
Sassuolo
Money Line
W 3-1 at Bologna+170
T 1-1 vs Udinese+140
L 1-6 at Napoli+620
L 2-1 vs Juventus+310
L 0-1 at Cagliari+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-185-245-240-219-256-240-219-208.1
Sassuolo+440+575+670+642+638+670+670+661.6
Draw+350+420+400+394+387+400+420+417.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-215----265-250-250-208.1
Sassuolo+545---+480+625+625+661.6
Draw+365---+340+400+400+417.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -235 to -245
Sassuolo ML moved from +630 to +623

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -225 to -250
Sassuolo ML moved from +600 to +580

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼+100o3½+125-o3¼+100o3¼+100o3-124
Underu3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-120u3½-140-u3¼-120u3½-140u3+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3-130--o3½+105o3-140o3-130o3-124
Underu3½-135u3+110--u3½-135u3+120u3½-135u3+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.5%
 
No43.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.77%
Exactly 223.47%
Exactly 415.92%
Exactly 64.32%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.45%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.09%
Exactly 71.76%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 019.06%
Exactly 131.59%
Exactly 226.19%
Exactly 314.47%
Exactly 46.00%
Exactly 51.99%
Exactly 60.55%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 030.26%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 221.62%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.69%
Exactly 223.28%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 310.25%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 046.42%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 213.67%
Exactly 33.50%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 057.49%
Exactly 131.82%
Exactly 28.81%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals25.41%
Wins by 3+ goals10.77%
Wins by 4+ goals3.74%
Wins by 5+ goals1.08%
Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals11.14%
Wins by 3+ goals3.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Sassuolo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Milan
Wins by 1 goal22.73%
Wins by 2 goals14.64%
Wins by 3 goals7.03%
Wins by 4 goals2.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.83%
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal16.39%
Wins by 2 goals7.61%
Wins by 3 goals2.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.23%5.77%
1.577.78%22.22%
2.554.31%45.69%
3.531.99%68.01%
4.516.07%83.93%
5.56.98%93.02%
6.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.94%19.06%
1.549.35%50.65%
2.523.17%76.83%
3.58.70%91.30%
4.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.74%30.26%
1.533.57%66.43%
2.511.95%88.05%
3.53.34%96.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.31%26.69%
1.538.06%61.94%
2.514.78%85.22%
3.54.52%95.48%
4.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Sassuolo
Score012345
0
5.77%
6.89%
4.12%
1.64%
0.49%
0.12%
1
9.56%
11.43%
6.83%
2.72%
0.81%
0.19%
2
7.92%
9.47%
5.66%
2.26%
0.67%
0.16%
3
4.38%
5.23%
3.13%
1.25%
0.37%
0.09%
4
1.81%
2.17%
1.30%
0.52%
0.15%
0.04%
5
0.60%
0.72%
0.43%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Milan
1-09.56%
2-07.92%
2-19.47%
3-04.38%
3-15.23%
3-23.13%
4-01.81%
4-12.17%
4-21.30%
4-30.52%
5-00.60%
5-10.72%
5-20.43%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.77%
1-111.43%
2-25.66%
3-31.25%
4-40.15%
Sassuolo
0-16.89%
0-24.12%
1-26.83%
0-31.64%
1-32.72%
2-32.26%
0-40.49%
1-40.81%
2-40.67%
3-40.37%
0-50.12%
1-50.19%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Sassuolo
Score01234
0
26.69%
14.77%
4.09%
0.75%
0.10%
1
20.48%
11.34%
3.14%
0.58%
0.08%
2
7.86%
4.35%
1.20%
0.22%
0.03%
3
2.01%
1.11%
0.31%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.39%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-020.48%
2-07.86%
2-14.35%
3-02.01%
3-11.11%
3-20.31%
4-00.39%
4-10.21%
Draw
0-026.69%
1-111.34%
2-21.20%
Sassuolo
0-114.77%
0-24.09%
1-23.14%
0-30.75%
1-30.58%
2-30.22%
0-40.10%