Sampdoria at Salernitana

Updated

Sampdoria

40.0%27.2%32.8%
Sampdoria WinDrawSalernitana Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.15
0Final Score 4

Salernitana

Last 5 Games

Sampdoria
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Juventus+460
L 2-0 vs Atalanta+420
L 0-3 at Inter+2100
W 1-4 vs Fiorentina+475
L 0-2 at Lazio+625
Salernitana
Money Line
T 0-0 at Udinese+385
L 1-0 vs Roma+625
L 4-0 vs Udinese-115
T 1-1 at Empoli+130
T 1-1 vs Cagliari+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+191+208+205+225+209+225+225+235.7
Salernitana+135+149+145+142+135+142+149+152.0
Draw+243+219+205+220+219+220+220+227.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+200---+185+210+210+235.7
Salernitana+150---+125+140+140+152.0
Draw+215---+200+220+220+227.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 30.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 10.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sampdoria ML moved from +201 to +190
Salernitana ML moved from +155 to +142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 30.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sampdoria ML
Salernitana ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-114o2½+107o2¼-122o2¼-120-o2¼-120o2¼-120o2½+113
Underu2½-104u2½-127u2¼+102u2¼+100-u2¼+100u2½-127u2½-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+115--o2½+105o2½+110o2½+115o2½+113
Underu2½-120u2½-135--u2½-135u2½-130u2½-130u2½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.9%
 
No50.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.57%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 413.01%
Exactly 62.62%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.05%
Exactly 321.18%
Exactly 56.40%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 027.16%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 223.07%
Exactly 310.02%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Salernitana
Exactly 031.54%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.00%
Exactly 38.08%
Exactly 42.33%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.06%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 42.24%
 
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 054.69%
Exactly 133.00%
Exactly 29.96%
Exactly 32.00%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Salernitana
Exactly 058.61%
Exactly 131.31%
Exactly 28.37%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals18.00%
Wins by 3+ goals6.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%
Salernitana
Wins by 2+ goals13.37%
Wins by 3+ goals4.21%
Wins by 4+ goals1.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Sampdoria
Salernitana
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal21.95%
Wins by 2 goals11.68%
Wins by 3 goals4.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%
Salernitana
Wins by 1 goal19.44%
Wins by 2 goals9.16%
Wins by 3 goals3.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.43%8.57%
1.570.38%29.62%
2.544.52%55.48%
3.523.33%76.67%
4.510.32%89.68%
5.53.92%96.08%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.84%27.16%
1.537.43%62.57%
2.514.36%85.64%
3.54.34%95.66%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Salernitana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.46%31.54%
1.532.07%67.93%
2.511.07%88.93%
3.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.94%32.06%
1.531.48%68.52%
2.510.73%89.27%
3.52.86%97.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sampdoria
Salernitana
Score012345
0
8.57%
9.89%
5.70%
2.19%
0.63%
0.15%
1
11.17%
12.88%
7.43%
2.86%
0.82%
0.19%
2
7.28%
8.40%
4.84%
1.86%
0.54%
0.12%
3
3.16%
3.65%
2.10%
0.81%
0.23%
0.05%
4
1.03%
1.19%
0.69%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.27%
0.31%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Sampdoria
1-011.17%
2-07.28%
2-18.40%
3-03.16%
3-13.65%
3-22.10%
4-01.03%
4-11.19%
4-20.69%
4-30.26%
5-00.27%
5-10.31%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-08.57%
1-112.88%
2-24.84%
3-30.81%
Salernitana
0-19.89%
0-25.70%
1-27.43%
0-32.19%
1-32.86%
2-31.86%
0-40.63%
1-40.82%
2-40.54%
3-40.23%
0-50.15%
1-50.19%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Sampdoria
Salernitana
Score01234
0
32.06%
17.13%
4.58%
0.81%
0.11%
1
19.34%
10.33%
2.76%
0.49%
0.07%
2
5.84%
3.12%
0.83%
0.15%
0.02%
3
1.17%
0.63%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Sampdoria
1-019.34%
2-05.84%
2-13.12%
3-01.17%
3-10.63%
3-20.17%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-032.06%
1-110.33%
2-20.83%
Salernitana
0-117.13%
0-24.58%
1-22.76%
0-30.81%
1-30.49%
2-30.15%
0-40.11%