Milan at Salernitana

Updated

Milan

65.3%20.2%14.4%
Milan WinDrawWin
2.03Projected Goals 0.84
2Final Score 1

Salernitana

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fiorentina-150
T 0-0 at Cremonese-185
W 1-2 vs Spezia-450
L 1-2 at Torino+110
W 1-4 vs Monza-250
Salernitana
Money Line
L 0-3 at Monza+295
L 1-2 at Fiorentina+515
T 2-2 vs Cremonese+120
W 3-1 at Lazio+575
W 0-1 vs Spezia+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-195-254-280-242-238-242-238-215.5
Salernitana+500+751+775+725+727+725+775+752.5
Draw+320+389+400+385+386+385+400+401.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-210----260-210-210-215.5
Salernitana+585---+550+585+585+752.5
Draw+340---+300+340+340+401.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Salernitana: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Salernitana: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -265 to -280
Salernitana ML moved from +700 to +680

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Salernitana: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 40.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
No Steam Moves On Salernitana ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o3+108o2¾-118o2¾-120o2½-146o2¾-120o2½-146o2½-137
Underu2¾-108u3-128u2¾-102u2¾+100u2½+131u2¾+100u3-128u2½+137
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-140--o2½-140o2½-135o2½-135o2½-137
Underu2½+120u2½+120--u2½+110u2½+115u2½+120u2½+137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+100 to o2¾-106
The Under moved from u2¾-113 to u2½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.65%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 416.05%
Exactly 64.42%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.24%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.22%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 013.03%
Exactly 126.56%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.38%
Exactly 49.36%
Exactly 53.82%
Exactly 61.30%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Salernitana
Exactly 043.36%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 215.14%
Exactly 34.22%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.44%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 43.45%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 310.38%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 038.93%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.33%
Exactly 35.45%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Salernitana
Exactly 067.91%
Exactly 126.28%
Exactly 25.08%
Exactly 30.66%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals40.68%
Wins by 3+ goals20.69%
Wins by 4+ goals8.70%
Wins by 5+ goals3.04%
Salernitana
Wins by 2+ goals4.36%
Wins by 3+ goals1.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Salernitana
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.53%
Wins by 2 goals19.98%
Wins by 3 goals12.00%
Wins by 4 goals5.65%
Wins by 5 goals2.18%
Salernitana
Wins by 1 goal10.06%
Wins by 2 goals3.36%
Wins by 3 goals0.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.35%5.65%
1.578.11%21.89%
2.554.79%45.21%
3.532.44%67.56%
4.516.39%83.61%
5.57.17%92.83%
6.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.97%13.03%
1.560.41%39.59%
2.533.35%66.65%
3.514.98%85.02%
4.55.61%94.39%
5.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Salernitana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.64%43.36%
1.520.41%79.59%
2.55.27%94.73%
3.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.56%26.44%
1.538.39%61.61%
2.514.99%85.01%
3.54.62%95.38%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Salernitana
Score01234
0
5.65%
4.72%
1.97%
0.55%
0.11%
1
11.51%
9.62%
4.02%
1.12%
0.23%
2
11.73%
9.80%
4.10%
1.14%
0.24%
3
7.97%
6.66%
2.78%
0.78%
0.16%
4
4.06%
3.39%
1.42%
0.39%
0.08%
5
1.65%
1.38%
0.58%
0.16%
0.03%
Milan
1-011.51%
2-011.73%
2-19.80%
3-07.97%
3-16.66%
3-22.78%
4-04.06%
4-13.39%
4-21.42%
4-30.39%
5-01.65%
5-11.38%
5-20.58%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.65%
1-19.62%
2-24.10%
3-30.78%
Salernitana
0-14.72%
0-21.97%
1-24.02%
0-30.55%
1-31.12%
2-31.14%
0-40.11%
1-40.23%
2-40.24%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Salernitana
Score0123
0
26.44%
10.23%
1.98%
0.26%
1
24.94%
9.65%
1.87%
0.24%
2
11.77%
4.55%
0.88%
0.11%
3
3.70%
1.43%
0.28%
0.04%
4
0.87%
0.34%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-024.94%
2-011.77%
2-14.55%
3-03.70%
3-11.43%
3-20.28%
4-00.87%
4-10.34%
5-00.16%
Draw
0-026.44%
1-19.65%
2-20.88%
Salernitana
0-110.23%
0-21.98%
1-21.87%
0-30.26%
1-30.24%
2-30.11%