Spezia at Fiorentina

Updated

Spezia

23.4%19.7%56.9%
Spezia WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.87Projected Goals 2.11
0Final Score 3

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Spezia
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Genoa+130
L 1-2 at Sampdoria+375
W 1-2 vs Salernitana+115
L 0-4 at Hellas Verona+470
L 2-1 vs Milan+550
Fiorentina
Money Line
L 0-1 at Lazio+320
W 0-3 vs Cagliari-175
L 0-1 at Venezia-110
L 2-1 vs Napoli+285
W 1-0 at Udinese+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+509+390+450+444+413+450+450+459.5
Fiorentina-197-155-155-154-162-155-154-141.3
Draw+330+310+305+327+306+305+327+324.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+500---+400+410+410+459.5
Fiorentina-200----220-155-155-141.3
Draw+350---+315+310+315+324.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 20.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +474 to +446
Fiorentina ML moved from -153 to -162

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 10.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +525 to +400
Fiorentina ML moved from -200 to -215

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o3+102o2¾-123o2¾-109-o2¾-123o2¾-109o2¾-113
Underu2¾+105u3-122u2¾+103u2¾-101-u2¾+103u3-122u2¾+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+110--o3+100o3+110o3+110o2¾-113
Underu3-120u3-130--u3-130u3-130u3-130u2¾+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.08%
Exactly 222.55%
Exactly 416.69%
Exactly 64.94%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.14%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.95%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 041.92%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.84%
Exactly 34.59%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 012.12%
Exactly 125.57%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 318.99%
Exactly 410.02%
Exactly 54.23%
Exactly 61.49%
Exactly 70.45%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.17%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.72%
Exactly 311.02%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 066.87%
Exactly 126.91%
Exactly 25.42%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 037.64%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.97%
Exactly 35.85%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals4.44%
Wins by 3+ goals1.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals41.86%
Wins by 3+ goals21.83%
Wins by 4+ goals9.48%
Wins by 5+ goals3.48%
Wins by 6+ goals1.09%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Spezia
Fiorentina
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal9.91%
Wins by 2 goals3.40%
Wins by 3 goals0.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal24.07%
Wins by 2 goals20.03%
Wins by 3 goals12.35%
Wins by 4 goals6.00%
Wins by 5 goals2.39%
Wins by 6 goals0.81%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.92%5.08%
1.579.78%20.22%
2.557.23%42.77%
3.534.83%65.17%
4.518.14%81.86%
5.58.19%91.81%
6.53.25%96.75%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.08%41.92%
1.521.63%78.37%
2.55.79%94.21%
3.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.88%12.12%
1.562.31%37.69%
2.535.32%64.68%
3.516.34%83.66%
4.56.32%93.68%
5.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.83%25.17%
1.540.11%59.89%
2.516.16%83.84%
3.55.15%94.85%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Spezia
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
5.08%
10.72%
11.31%
7.96%
4.20%
1.77%
1
4.42%
9.32%
9.84%
6.92%
3.65%
1.54%
2
1.92%
4.05%
4.28%
3.01%
1.59%
0.67%
3
0.56%
1.17%
1.24%
0.87%
0.46%
0.19%
4
0.12%
0.26%
0.27%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
Spezia
1-04.42%
2-01.92%
2-14.05%
3-00.56%
3-11.17%
3-21.24%
4-00.12%
4-10.26%
4-20.27%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-05.08%
1-19.32%
2-24.28%
3-30.87%
Fiorentina
0-110.72%
0-211.31%
1-29.84%
0-37.96%
1-36.92%
2-33.01%
0-44.20%
1-43.65%
2-41.59%
3-40.46%
0-51.77%
1-51.54%
2-50.67%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Spezia
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
25.17%
24.59%
12.02%
3.91%
0.96%
0.19%
1
10.13%
9.90%
4.84%
1.58%
0.38%
0.08%
2
2.04%
1.99%
0.97%
0.32%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.27%
0.27%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Spezia
1-010.13%
2-02.04%
2-11.99%
3-00.27%
3-10.27%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-025.17%
1-19.90%
2-20.97%
Fiorentina
0-124.59%
0-212.02%
1-24.84%
0-33.91%
1-31.58%
2-30.32%
0-40.96%
1-40.38%
0-50.19%