Sassuolo at Milan

Updated

Sassuolo

10.9%16.2%72.9%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.48
0Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Sassuolo
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Genoa+150
T 2-2 at Udinese+190
L 1-2 at Cagliari+180
L 2-1 vs Roma+265
W 4-3 at Empoli+160
Milan
Money Line
T 2-2 at Salernitana-235
W 0-3 vs Monza-165
L 2-3 at Atalanta+187
W 0-1 vs Fiorentina+110
L 1-0 vs Udinese-235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sassuolo+560+477+460+500+486+500+500+520.9
Milan-212-191-200-205-193-205-191-185.3
Draw+390+375+390+410+385+410+410+427.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sassuolo+550-+482-+435+490+490+520.9
Milan-215--195--245-200-195-185.3
Draw+365-+355-+335+365+365+427.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sassuolo ML moved from +510 to +500
Milan ML moved from -189 to -195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sassuolo ML moved from +500 to +475
Milan ML moved from -215 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-117o3½+113o3¼-112o3¼-111o3¼-107o3¼-111o3¼-107o3¼-101
Underu3-103u3½-133u3¼-108u3¼-109u3¼-107u3¼-109u3½-133u3¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-145o3-130-o3-130o3-130o3-130o3¼-101
Underu3+100u3+125u3+110-u3+100u3+110u3+125u3¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.8%
 
No47.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.54%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 418.38%
Exactly 66.84%
Exactly 81.36%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.83%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 512.28%
Exactly 73.26%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 042.41%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.60%
Exactly 34.46%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 08.35%
Exactly 120.73%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 321.30%
Exactly 413.22%
Exactly 56.56%
Exactly 62.72%
Exactly 70.96%
Exactly 80.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.30%
Exactly 225.47%
Exactly 45.08%
Exactly 60.40%
 
Exactly 132.94%
Exactly 313.13%
Exactly 51.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 067.23%
Exactly 126.70%
Exactly 25.30%
Exactly 30.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 031.68%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.93%
Exactly 38.02%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals3.25%
Wins by 3+ goals0.74%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals50.64%
Wins by 3+ goals29.59%
Wins by 4+ goals14.59%
Wins by 5+ goals6.13%
Wins by 6+ goals2.19%
Wins by 7+ goals0.64%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Sassuolo
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal7.65%
Wins by 2 goals2.51%
Wins by 3 goals0.61%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal22.14%
Wins by 2 goals21.05%
Wins by 3 goals15.00%
Wins by 4 goals8.47%
Wins by 5 goals3.94%
Wins by 6 goals1.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.52%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.46%3.54%
1.584.63%15.37%
2.564.86%35.14%
3.542.86%57.14%
4.524.48%75.52%
5.512.20%87.80%
6.55.37%94.63%
7.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.59%42.41%
1.521.21%78.79%
2.55.61%94.39%
3.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.65%8.35%
1.570.91%29.09%
2.545.17%54.83%
3.523.87%76.13%
4.510.65%89.35%
5.54.09%95.91%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.70%21.30%
1.545.77%54.23%
2.520.29%79.71%
3.57.16%92.84%
4.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sassuolo
Milan
Score012345
0
3.54%
8.79%
10.92%
9.03%
5.61%
2.78%
1
3.04%
7.54%
9.36%
7.75%
4.81%
2.39%
2
1.30%
3.23%
4.02%
3.32%
2.06%
1.02%
3
0.37%
0.92%
1.15%
0.95%
0.59%
0.29%
Sassuolo
1-03.04%
2-01.30%
2-13.23%
3-00.37%
3-10.92%
3-21.15%
Draw
0-03.54%
1-17.54%
2-24.02%
3-30.95%
4-40.13%
Milan
0-18.79%
0-210.92%
1-29.36%
0-39.03%
1-37.75%
2-33.32%
0-45.61%
1-44.81%
2-42.06%
3-40.59%
0-52.78%
1-52.39%
2-51.02%
3-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Sassuolo
Milan
Score012345
0
21.30%
24.48%
14.07%
5.39%
1.55%
0.36%
1
8.46%
9.72%
5.59%
2.14%
0.62%
0.14%
2
1.68%
1.93%
1.11%
0.43%
0.12%
0.03%
3
0.22%
0.26%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Sassuolo
1-08.46%
2-01.68%
2-11.93%
3-00.22%
3-10.26%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-021.30%
1-19.72%
2-21.11%
Milan
0-124.48%
0-214.07%
1-25.59%
0-35.39%
1-32.14%
2-30.43%
0-41.55%
1-40.62%
2-40.12%
0-50.36%
1-50.14%