Napoli at Monza

Updated

Napoli

77.2%14.6%8.2%
Napoli WinDrawWin
2.56Projected Goals 0.72
1Final Score 0

Monza

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Empoli-240
T 1-1 at Bologna+210
W 1-2 vs Milan-110
T 0-0 at Venezia-190
W 1-2 vs Fiorentina-185
Monza
Money Line
L 0-1 at Venezia+380
L 3-1 vs Como+440
L 0-3 at Cagliari+445
T 1-1 vs Parma+205
L 2-3 at Inter+1900

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-280--305-295-312-295-295-258.7
Monza+775-+800+950+915+950+950+987.3
Draw+400-+440+417+415+417+440+435.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-400--310---335-310-258.7
Monza+1250-+925--+1000+1000+987.3
Draw+475-+415--+425+425+435.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 10.0%
Monza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Monza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -312 to -318
Monza ML moved from +946 to +915

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 10.0%
Monza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Monza: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -325 to -347
Monza ML moved from +945 to +925

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2¾-102o2¾+100o2¾-102o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+109
Underu2½-105-u2¾-118u2¾-120u2¾-118u2¾-120u2¾-118u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-130o2½-130-o2½-145o2½-130o2½-130o2¾+109
Underu2½-105u2½+110u2½+110-u2½+115u2½+110u2½+115u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o2½-145
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.77%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 418.14%
Exactly 66.50%
Exactly 81.25%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.36%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 511.89%
Exactly 73.04%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 07.73%
Exactly 119.78%
Exactly 225.33%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 413.84%
Exactly 57.09%
Exactly 63.02%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 80.35%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Monza
Exactly 048.81%
Exactly 135.01%
Exactly 212.55%
Exactly 33.00%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.92%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 44.85%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.27%
Exactly 312.77%
Exactly 51.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 030.56%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 38.49%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monza
Exactly 071.74%
Exactly 123.82%
Exactly 23.96%
Exactly 30.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals55.44%
Wins by 3+ goals33.54%
Wins by 4+ goals17.16%
Wins by 5+ goals7.51%
Monza
Wins by 2+ goals2.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Monza
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal21.69%
Wins by 2 goals21.90%
Wins by 3 goals16.38%
Wins by 4 goals9.65%
Wins by 5 goals4.67%
Monza
Wins by 1 goal6.07%
Wins by 2 goals1.70%
Wins by 3 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.23%3.77%
1.583.87%16.13%
2.563.61%36.39%
3.541.47%58.53%
4.523.34%76.66%
5.511.45%88.55%
6.54.95%95.05%
7.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.27%7.73%
1.572.49%27.51%
2.547.16%52.84%
3.525.54%74.46%
4.511.70%88.30%
5.54.62%95.38%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Monza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.19%48.81%
1.516.18%83.82%
2.53.63%96.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.08%21.92%
1.544.80%55.20%
2.519.56%80.44%
3.56.79%93.21%
4.51.94%98.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Monza
Score0123
0
3.77%
2.70%
0.97%
0.23%
1
9.66%
6.93%
2.48%
0.59%
2
12.36%
8.87%
3.18%
0.76%
3
10.55%
7.57%
2.71%
0.65%
4
6.75%
4.84%
1.74%
0.42%
5
3.46%
2.48%
0.89%
0.21%
Napoli
1-09.66%
2-012.36%
2-18.87%
3-010.55%
3-17.57%
3-22.71%
4-06.75%
4-14.84%
4-21.74%
4-30.42%
5-03.46%
5-12.48%
5-20.89%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-03.77%
1-16.93%
2-23.18%
3-30.65%
Monza
0-12.70%
0-20.97%
1-22.48%
0-30.23%
1-30.59%
2-30.76%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Monza
Score0123
0
21.92%
7.28%
1.21%
0.13%
1
25.99%
8.63%
1.43%
0.16%
2
15.41%
5.12%
0.85%
0.09%
3
6.09%
2.02%
0.34%
0.04%
4
1.80%
0.60%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.43%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
Napoli
1-025.99%
2-015.41%
2-15.12%
3-06.09%
3-12.02%
3-20.34%
4-01.80%
4-10.60%
5-00.43%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-021.92%
1-18.63%
2-20.85%
Monza
0-17.28%
0-21.21%
1-21.43%
0-30.13%
1-30.16%