Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Roma
Atalanta		16.5%
63.6%		19.9%
+295
+105
+280
+110
1
2		-0.73641-0.77072-0.45251
Fiorentina
Venezia		46.1%
27.7%		26.2%
+182
+175
+183
+180
1
2		-1.04475-1.06218-1.28367
Genoa
Napoli		7.3%
78.9%		13.8%
+1200
-334
+1225
-345
2
2		-1.74755-1.72166-1.98144
Inter
Torino		64.3%
14.9%		20.8%
-139
+460
-140
+425
2
0		-0.56504-0.58214-0.44203
Lecce
Hellas Verona		25.9%
48.6%		25.6%
+246
+158
+260
+150
1
1		-1.07444-1.07558-1.36355
Monza
Udinese		9.4%
74.4%		16.2%
+505
-163
+615
-170
2
1		-1.82859-1.96647-2.36969
Parma
Empoli		28.2%
45.5%		26.3%
+246
+137
+245
+135
1
2		-0.89588-0.88194-0.78768
Juventus
Lazio		31.3%
41.0%		27.7%
+248
+141
+234
+135
1
1		-1.16697-1.17782-1.28424
Bologna
Milan		32.9%
40.0%		27.0%
+248
+127
+214
+130
1
3		-0.83656-0.87512-0.91577
Milan
Genoa		52.0%
23.3%		24.8%
-131
+397
-135
+372
2
1		-0.59292-0.60261-0.65448
Juventus
Bologna		30.5%
41.9%		27.6%
+265
+139
+245
+140
1
1		-1.12849-1.13772-1.28583
Fiorentina
Roma		21.1%
55.8%		23.2%
+425
-129
+400
-135
0
1		-0.59417-0.60161-0.58383
Atalanta
Monza		79.2%
7.5%		13.3%
-435
+1350
-488
+1275
4
0		-0.23153-0.22995-0.23298
Lazio
Empoli		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%
-117
+380
-115
+322
1
0		-0.64268-0.67051-0.68464
Hellas Verona
Inter		4.8%
84.5%		10.7%
+650
-215
+730
-225
0
1		-0.41465-0.39295-0.16805
Napoli
Lecce		67.1%
13.7%		19.2%
-190
+678
-210
+680
1
0		-0.43899-0.43781-0.39931
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.