Toluca at Guadalajara

Updated

Toluca

31.0%25.8%43.1%
Toluca WinDrawGuadalajara Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.50
0Final Score 2

Guadalajara

Last 5 Games

Toluca
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Queretaro-133
L 2-1 vs Atletico+115
L 0-2 at Monterrey+600
W 1-3 vs America+240
W 2-1 at Pachuca+350
Guadalajara
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Atlas+200
L 0-1 at Queretaro+135
T 0-0 at America+475
W 0-1 vs Pachuca+190
T 0-0 at UNAM+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toluca+217+245+220+259+229+220+259+269.0
Guadalajara+130+115+120+118+120+120+120+124.1
Draw+223+225+220+244+232+220+244+253.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toluca+255-+226-+230+245+245+269.0
Guadalajara+125-+116-+105+115+116+124.1
Draw+210-+240-+195+240+240+253.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guadalajara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toluca: 10.0%
Guadalajara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toluca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toluca: 20.0%
Guadalajara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toluca ML
No Steam Moves On Guadalajara ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guadalajara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toluca: 10.0%
Guadalajara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toluca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toluca: 0.0%
Guadalajara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toluca ML
No Steam Moves On Guadalajara ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-119o2¼-116-o2¼-119o2¼-116o2¼-109
Underu2¼-102u2¼-102u2¼-101u2¼+103-u2¼-101u2¼+103u2¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140-o2½+110-o2½+115o2½+110o2½+115o2¼-109
Underu2+120-u2½-130-u2½-145u2½-130u2½-130u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.60%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 413.96%
Exactly 63.09%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.59%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 57.20%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 034.04%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.77%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Guadalajara
Exactly 022.34%
Exactly 133.48%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 312.54%
Exactly 44.70%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.33%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 38.58%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 060.72%
Exactly 130.29%
Exactly 27.56%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Guadalajara
Exactly 049.96%
Exactly 134.67%
Exactly 212.03%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals10.31%
Wins by 3+ goals2.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
Guadalajara
Wins by 2+ goals23.39%
Wins by 3+ goals9.21%
Wins by 4+ goals2.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.73%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Toluca
Guadalajara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal16.85%
Wins by 2 goals7.32%
Wins by 3 goals2.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Guadalajara
Wins by 1 goal23.44%
Wins by 2 goals14.18%
Wins by 3 goals6.29%
Wins by 4 goals2.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.40%7.60%
1.572.81%27.19%
2.547.57%52.43%
3.525.89%74.11%
4.511.93%88.07%
5.54.73%95.27%
6.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.96%34.04%
1.529.28%70.72%
2.59.51%90.49%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Guadalajara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.66%22.34%
1.544.18%55.82%
2.519.09%80.91%
3.56.55%93.45%
4.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.67%30.33%
1.533.48%66.52%
2.511.90%88.10%
3.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Toluca
Guadalajara
Score012345
0
7.60%
11.40%
8.54%
4.27%
1.60%
0.48%
1
8.19%
12.28%
9.20%
4.60%
1.72%
0.52%
2
4.41%
6.62%
4.96%
2.48%
0.93%
0.28%
3
1.59%
2.38%
1.78%
0.89%
0.33%
0.10%
4
0.43%
0.64%
0.48%
0.24%
0.09%
0.03%
Toluca
1-08.19%
2-04.41%
2-16.62%
3-01.59%
3-12.38%
3-21.78%
4-00.43%
4-10.64%
4-20.48%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-07.60%
1-112.28%
2-24.96%
3-30.89%
Guadalajara
0-111.40%
0-28.54%
1-29.20%
0-34.27%
1-34.60%
2-32.48%
0-41.60%
1-41.72%
2-40.93%
3-40.33%
0-50.48%
1-50.52%
2-50.28%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Toluca
Guadalajara
Score01234
0
30.33%
21.05%
7.30%
1.69%
0.29%
1
15.13%
10.50%
3.64%
0.84%
0.15%
2
3.78%
2.62%
0.91%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.63%
0.44%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Toluca
1-015.13%
2-03.78%
2-12.62%
3-00.63%
3-10.44%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-030.33%
1-110.50%
2-20.91%
Guadalajara
0-121.05%
0-27.30%
1-23.64%
0-31.69%
1-30.84%
2-30.21%
0-40.29%
1-40.15%
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