Guadalajara at Toluca

Updated

Guadalajara

20.4%22.6%57.0%
Guadalajara WinDrawToluca Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.85
0Final Score 0

Toluca

Last 5 Games

Guadalajara
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Toluca+140
W 1-0 at Atlas+100
W 0-2 vs Queretaro-155
W 1-0 at Pachuca+220
W 2-3 vs Puebla-240
Toluca
Money Line
L 0-1 at Guadalajara+205
L 1-0 vs Cruz Azul+160
W 5-1 at Atletico-115
L 1-5 at America+360
W 1-4 vs Atlas-215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guadalajara+255+314+275+325+332+325+332+340.2
Toluca+102-116-115-120-124-120-115-111.2
Draw+279+283+290+292+291+292+292+306.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guadalajara+280--+260+245+315+315+340.2
Toluca-110---120-125-120-120-111.2
Draw+280--+260+255+280+280+306.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guadalajara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guadalajara: 0.0%
Toluca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guadalajara: 10.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guadalajara ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guadalajara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guadalajara: 0.0%
Toluca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guadalajara: 0.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guadalajara ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+107o2½-131o2¾-120o2¾-106o2¾-108o2¾-106o2½-131o2¾+104
Underu3-125u2½+111u2¾+100u2¾-114u2¾-110u2¾-114u2¾+100u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110--o3+115o3+105o2½-140o2½-140o2¾+104
Underu3-130--u3-135u3-135u2½+120u3-135u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.7%
 
No46.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.69%
Exactly 223.38%
Exactly 416.01%
Exactly 64.38%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.31%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.18%
Exactly 71.80%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Guadalajara
Exactly 036.27%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 015.69%
Exactly 129.06%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 316.62%
Exactly 47.69%
Exactly 52.85%
Exactly 60.88%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.52%
Exactly 223.36%
Exactly 43.43%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 310.33%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Guadalajara
Exactly 062.52%
Exactly 129.36%
Exactly 26.89%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 042.42%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.60%
Exactly 34.46%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Guadalajara
Wins by 2+ goals7.18%
Wins by 3+ goals1.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%
Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals32.86%
Wins by 3+ goals15.35%
Wins by 4+ goals5.91%
Wins by 5+ goals1.89%
Wins by 6+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Guadalajara
Toluca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Guadalajara
Wins by 1 goal13.18%
Wins by 2 goals5.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal24.07%
Wins by 2 goals17.50%
Wins by 3 goals9.45%
Wins by 4 goals4.02%
Wins by 5 goals1.40%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.31%5.69%
1.578.00%22.00%
2.554.62%45.38%
3.532.29%67.71%
4.516.28%83.72%
5.57.11%92.89%
6.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Guadalajara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.73%36.27%
1.526.95%73.05%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.31%15.69%
1.555.25%44.75%
2.528.34%71.66%
3.511.72%88.28%
4.54.03%95.97%
5.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.48%26.52%
1.538.28%61.72%
2.514.92%85.08%
3.54.59%95.41%
4.51.16%98.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Guadalajara
Toluca
Score012345
0
5.69%
10.54%
9.76%
6.03%
2.79%
1.03%
1
5.77%
10.69%
9.90%
6.11%
2.83%
1.05%
2
2.93%
5.42%
5.02%
3.10%
1.44%
0.53%
3
0.99%
1.83%
1.70%
1.05%
0.49%
0.18%
4
0.25%
0.46%
0.43%
0.27%
0.12%
0.05%
Guadalajara
1-05.77%
2-02.93%
2-15.42%
3-00.99%
3-11.83%
3-21.70%
4-00.25%
4-10.46%
4-20.43%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-05.69%
1-110.69%
2-25.02%
3-31.05%
4-40.12%
Toluca
0-110.54%
0-29.76%
1-29.90%
0-36.03%
1-36.11%
2-33.10%
0-42.79%
1-42.83%
2-41.44%
3-40.49%
0-51.03%
1-51.05%
2-50.53%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Guadalajara
Toluca
Score012345
0
26.52%
22.74%
9.75%
2.79%
0.60%
0.10%
1
12.46%
10.68%
4.58%
1.31%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.92%
2.51%
1.08%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.46%
0.39%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Guadalajara
1-012.46%
2-02.92%
2-12.51%
3-00.46%
3-10.39%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-026.52%
1-110.68%
2-21.08%
Toluca
0-122.74%
0-29.75%
1-24.58%
0-32.79%
1-31.31%
2-30.31%
0-40.60%
1-40.28%
0-50.10%