Guadalajara at Toluca

Updated

Guadalajara

29.3%26.4%44.4%
Guadalajara WinDrawToluca Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.43
0Final Score 0

Toluca

Last 5 Games

Guadalajara
Money Line
W 1-3 vs UNAM-135
W 0-1 vs Monterrey+165
W 4-0 at Necaxa+161
T 1-1 vs Atlas+145
L 1-2 at Mazatlan FC+150
Toluca
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Pachuca+181
L 0-1 at Atletico+180
T 1-1 vs Monterrey+145
W 3-2 at Cruz Azul+255
W 1-3 vs Tijuana-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guadalajara+210+162+150+150+162+150+162+168.4
Toluca+125+180+180+192+161+192+192+199.4
Draw+230+233+220+240+238+240+240+240.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guadalajara+200-+158-+160+175+160+168.4
Toluca+140-+184-+140+160+184+199.4
Draw+230-+215-+205+230+230+240.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guadalajara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guadalajara: 0.0%
Toluca: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guadalajara: 0.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guadalajara ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guadalajara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guadalajara: 0.0%
Toluca: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guadalajara: 0.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guadalajara ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½-106o2½+102o2½+100-o2½+100o2½+102o2½+105
Underu2¼+105u2½-112u2½-122u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-112u2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100-o2½+100-o2½-110o2½+100o2½+100o2½+105
Underu2½-120-u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.90%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 413.66%
Exactly 62.93%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.06%
Exactly 321.53%
Exactly 56.93%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Guadalajara
Exactly 033.00%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 37.49%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 023.95%
Exactly 134.23%
Exactly 224.46%
Exactly 311.65%
Exactly 44.16%
Exactly 51.19%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.88%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.35%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Guadalajara
Exactly 059.85%
Exactly 130.72%
Exactly 27.88%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 051.60%
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 211.30%
Exactly 32.49%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Guadalajara
Wins by 2+ goals11.37%
Wins by 3+ goals3.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals21.36%
Wins by 3+ goals8.09%
Wins by 4+ goals2.46%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Guadalajara
Toluca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Guadalajara
Wins by 1 goal17.80%
Wins by 2 goals7.98%
Wins by 3 goals2.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal22.95%
Wins by 2 goals13.27%
Wins by 3 goals5.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.10%7.90%
1.572.04%27.96%
2.546.58%53.42%
3.525.05%74.95%
4.511.39%88.61%
5.54.46%95.54%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Guadalajara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.00%33.00%
1.530.41%69.59%
2.510.13%89.87%
3.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.05%23.95%
1.541.82%58.18%
2.517.36%82.64%
3.55.71%94.29%
4.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.12%30.88%
1.532.83%67.17%
2.511.51%88.49%
3.53.16%96.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Guadalajara
Toluca
Score012345
0
7.90%
11.30%
8.07%
3.85%
1.37%
0.39%
1
8.76%
12.52%
8.95%
4.26%
1.52%
0.44%
2
4.86%
6.94%
4.96%
2.36%
0.84%
0.24%
3
1.80%
2.57%
1.83%
0.87%
0.31%
0.09%
4
0.50%
0.71%
0.51%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.16%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.01%
Guadalajara
1-08.76%
2-04.86%
2-16.94%
3-01.80%
3-12.57%
3-21.83%
4-00.50%
4-10.71%
4-20.51%
4-30.24%
5-00.11%
5-10.16%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-07.90%
1-112.52%
2-24.96%
3-30.87%
Toluca
0-111.30%
0-28.07%
1-28.95%
0-33.85%
1-34.26%
2-32.36%
0-41.37%
1-41.52%
2-40.84%
3-40.31%
0-50.39%
1-50.44%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Guadalajara
Toluca
Score01234
0
30.88%
20.43%
6.76%
1.49%
0.25%
1
15.85%
10.49%
3.47%
0.77%
0.13%
2
4.07%
2.69%
0.89%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.70%
0.46%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Guadalajara
1-015.85%
2-04.07%
2-12.69%
3-00.70%
3-10.46%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-030.88%
1-110.49%
2-20.89%
Toluca
0-120.43%
0-26.76%
1-23.47%
0-31.49%
1-30.77%
2-30.20%
0-40.25%
1-40.13%