Toluca at Atletico

Updated

Toluca

40.7%25.7%33.6%
Toluca WinDrawAtletico Win
1.46Projected Goals 1.21
1Final Score 0

Atletico

Last 5 Games

Toluca
Money Line
W 2-1 at Mazatlan FC+255
W 1-3 vs Santos Laguna+215
L 0-5 at UNAM+245
L 2-1 vs UNAM+130
L 0-1 at Puebla+255
Atletico
Money Line
W 3-2 at America+490
L 1-0 vs FC Juarez+130
L 0-1 at Atlas+460
L 2-0 vs Pachuca+200
L 0-2 at Santos Laguna+420

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toluca+180+280+255+298+280+255+298+301.0
Atletico+160-105-125+101-106-125+101+108.3
Draw+205+245+235+252+255+235+255+269.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toluca+215-+289-+270+275+289+301.0
Atletico+140--104--110+105+105+108.3
Draw+215-+243-+200+240+243+269.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toluca: 50.0%
Atletico: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toluca: 30.0%
Atletico: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toluca ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toluca: 40.0%
Atletico: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toluca: 30.0%
Atletico: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toluca ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2½+102o2½-102--o2½-102o2½+102o2½+109
Underu2¼-118u2½-122u2½-118--u2½-118u2½-118u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145-o2½+105-o2-145o2½+110o2-145o2½+109
Underu2+125-u2½-125-u2+115u2½-130u2½-130u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%
 
No46.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.92%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 414.67%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.49%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 57.83%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 023.16%
Exactly 133.88%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 312.08%
Exactly 44.42%
Exactly 51.29%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico
Exactly 029.90%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.05%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 050.80%
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 211.65%
Exactly 32.63%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico
Exactly 057.18%
Exactly 131.96%
Exactly 28.93%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals20.82%
Wins by 3+ goals7.97%
Wins by 4+ goals2.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%
Atletico
Wins by 2+ goals12.94%
Wins by 3+ goals4.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Toluca
Atletico
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal22.13%
Wins by 2 goals12.85%
Wins by 3 goals5.52%
Wins by 4 goals1.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%
Atletico
Wins by 1 goal18.26%
Wins by 2 goals8.76%
Wins by 3 goals3.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.08%6.92%
1.574.59%25.41%
2.549.90%50.10%
3.527.93%72.07%
4.513.27%86.73%
5.55.44%94.56%
6.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.84%23.16%
1.542.97%57.03%
2.518.19%81.81%
3.56.11%93.89%
4.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Atletico Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.10%29.90%
1.534.00%66.00%
2.512.21%87.79%
3.53.44%96.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.95%29.05%
1.535.04%64.96%
2.512.85%87.15%
3.53.70%96.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Toluca
Atletico
Score012345
0
6.92%
8.36%
5.05%
2.03%
0.61%
0.15%
1
10.13%
12.23%
7.38%
2.97%
0.90%
0.22%
2
7.41%
8.94%
5.40%
2.17%
0.66%
0.16%
3
3.61%
4.36%
2.63%
1.06%
0.32%
0.08%
4
1.32%
1.59%
0.96%
0.39%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.39%
0.47%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Toluca
1-010.13%
2-07.41%
2-18.94%
3-03.61%
3-14.36%
3-22.63%
4-01.32%
4-11.59%
4-20.96%
4-30.39%
5-00.39%
5-10.47%
5-20.28%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-06.92%
1-112.23%
2-25.40%
3-31.06%
4-40.12%
Atletico
0-18.36%
0-25.05%
1-27.38%
0-32.03%
1-32.97%
2-32.17%
0-40.61%
1-40.90%
2-40.66%
3-40.32%
0-50.15%
1-50.22%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Toluca
Atletico
Score01234
0
29.05%
16.24%
4.54%
0.85%
0.12%
1
19.67%
11.00%
3.07%
0.57%
0.08%
2
6.66%
3.72%
1.04%
0.19%
0.03%
3
1.50%
0.84%
0.23%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.25%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Toluca
1-019.67%
2-06.66%
2-13.72%
3-01.50%
3-10.84%
3-20.23%
4-00.25%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-029.05%
1-111.00%
2-21.04%
Atletico
0-116.24%
0-24.54%
1-23.07%
0-30.85%
1-30.57%
2-30.19%
0-40.12%