Leon at Necaxa

Updated

Leon

53.9%24.4%21.7%
Leon WinDrawNecaxa Win
1.65Projected Goals 0.96
1Final Score 0

Necaxa

Last 5 Games

Leon
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Guadalajara+130
L 1-2 at UNAM+210
L 1-0 vs Cruz Azul+160
W 1-2 vs Pachuca+135
T 1-1 vs Atlas+150
Necaxa
Money Line
T 1-1 at Tijuana+350
W 2-1 at Cruz Azul+430
L 3-1 vs Pachuca+170
W 4-1 at Santos Laguna+420
L 4-0 vs Monterrey+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leon+135+165+157-+189+157+165+187.2
Necaxa+190+185+176-+148+176+185+188.2
Draw+240+195+205-+225+205+225+228.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leon+155-+167-+135+175+175+187.2
Necaxa+170-+167-+150+160+167+188.2
Draw+245-+223-+230+230+230+228.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leon: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Necaxa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leon: 40.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leon: 0.0%
Necaxa: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leon ML
No Steam Moves On Necaxa ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leon: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Necaxa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leon: 50.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leon: 0.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leon ML
No Steam Moves On Necaxa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2¼-105o2¼+100o2½+126-o2¼+100o2¼+100o2½+128
Underu2¾-108u2¼-115u2¼-120u2½-141-u2¼-120u2½-141u2½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120-o2½+125-o2½-110o2½+115o2½+125o2½+128
Underu2½+100-u2½-145-u2½-120u2½-135u2½-120u2½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.32%
Exactly 225.02%
Exactly 414.25%
Exactly 63.25%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.14%
Exactly 321.80%
Exactly 57.45%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Leon
Exactly 019.03%
Exactly 131.57%
Exactly 226.19%
Exactly 314.49%
Exactly 46.01%
Exactly 51.99%
Exactly 60.55%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Necaxa
Exactly 038.48%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.55%
Exactly 35.59%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.81%
Exactly 221.84%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 38.81%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leon
Exactly 046.38%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 213.69%
Exactly 33.51%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Necaxa
Exactly 064.26%
Exactly 128.42%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leon
Wins by 2+ goals29.20%
Wins by 3+ goals12.62%
Wins by 4+ goals4.45%
Wins by 5+ goals1.30%
Necaxa
Wins by 2+ goals7.42%
Wins by 3+ goals1.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Leon
Necaxa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Leon
Wins by 1 goal24.68%
Wins by 2 goals16.58%
Wins by 3 goals8.17%
Wins by 4 goals3.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.99%
Necaxa
Wins by 1 goal14.20%
Wins by 2 goals5.49%
Wins by 3 goals1.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.68%7.32%
1.573.54%26.46%
2.548.52%51.48%
3.526.71%73.29%
4.512.46%87.54%
5.55.01%94.99%
6.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Leon Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.97%19.03%
1.549.40%50.60%
2.523.21%76.79%
3.58.72%91.28%
4.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Necaxa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.52%38.48%
1.524.77%75.23%
2.57.22%92.78%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.19%29.81%
1.534.12%65.88%
2.512.28%87.72%
3.53.47%96.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leon
Necaxa
Score01234
0
7.32%
6.99%
3.34%
1.06%
0.25%
1
12.15%
11.60%
5.54%
1.76%
0.42%
2
10.08%
9.63%
4.60%
1.46%
0.35%
3
5.58%
5.32%
2.54%
0.81%
0.19%
4
2.31%
2.21%
1.05%
0.34%
0.08%
5
0.77%
0.73%
0.35%
0.11%
0.03%
Leon
1-012.15%
2-010.08%
2-19.63%
3-05.58%
3-15.32%
3-22.54%
4-02.31%
4-12.21%
4-21.05%
4-30.34%
5-00.77%
5-10.73%
5-20.35%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.32%
1-111.60%
2-24.60%
3-30.81%
Necaxa
0-16.99%
0-23.34%
1-25.54%
0-31.06%
1-31.76%
2-31.46%
0-40.25%
1-40.42%
2-40.35%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Leon
Necaxa
Score0123
0
29.81%
13.18%
2.91%
0.43%
1
22.90%
10.13%
2.24%
0.33%
2
8.80%
3.89%
0.86%
0.13%
3
2.25%
1.00%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.43%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
Leon
1-022.90%
2-08.80%
2-13.89%
3-02.25%
3-11.00%
3-20.22%
4-00.43%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-029.81%
1-110.13%
2-20.86%
Necaxa
0-113.18%
0-22.91%
1-22.24%
0-30.43%
1-30.33%
2-30.13%