Atletico at Toluca

Updated

Atletico

15.7%19.7%64.6%
WinDrawToluca Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.14
0Final Score 2

Toluca

Last 5 Games

Atletico
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Santos Laguna+170
L 3-1 vs America+350
L 0-1 at Tijuana+290
W 0-2 vs Puebla+143
T 0-0 at UANL+680
Toluca
Money Line
W 5-0 at Santos Laguna+230
W 2-1 at Pachuca+320
W 1-3 vs Cruz Azul+150
L 1-2 at Monterrey+525
T 0-0 at Atlas+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico+215+384+350+415+335+415+415+432.8
Toluca+115-145-145-155-127-155-127-142.4
Draw+245+314+290+330+284+330+330+344.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico+220-+400-+300+400+400+432.8
Toluca+120--155--150-150-150-142.4
Draw+255-+310-+265+300+310+344.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico: 0.0%
Toluca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico: 0.0%
Toluca: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico: 0.0%
Toluca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico: 30.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o3+104o2¾-125o3+100o2½-140o3+100o2½-140o3+109
Underu2¾-112u3-122u2¾+105u3-120u2½+125u3-120u3-120u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140-o2½-145-o2½-140o3+105o2½-140o3+109
Underu2½+120-u2½+125-u2½+110u3-125u3-125u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.1%
 
No45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.56%
Exactly 221.74%
Exactly 417.27%
Exactly 65.49%
Exactly 80.93%
 
Exactly 114.08%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.67%
Exactly 72.42%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico
Exactly 038.66%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.46%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 011.80%
Exactly 125.21%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 319.20%
Exactly 410.26%
Exactly 54.38%
Exactly 61.56%
Exactly 70.48%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.94%
Exactly 224.46%
Exactly 44.17%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.23%
Exactly 311.66%
Exactly 51.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico
Exactly 064.40%
Exactly 128.34%
Exactly 26.23%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 037.17%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.20%
Exactly 36.00%
Exactly 41.49%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico
Wins by 2+ goals5.15%
Wins by 3+ goals1.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals40.89%
Wins by 3+ goals21.37%
Wins by 4+ goals9.32%
Wins by 5+ goals3.44%
Wins by 6+ goals1.08%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico
Toluca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Atletico
Wins by 1 goal10.50%
Wins by 2 goals3.86%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal23.63%
Wins by 2 goals19.53%
Wins by 3 goals12.05%
Wins by 4 goals5.88%
Wins by 5 goals2.36%
Wins by 6 goals0.80%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.44%4.56%
1.581.36%18.64%
2.559.62%40.38%
3.537.24%62.76%
4.519.97%80.03%
5.59.30%90.70%
6.53.81%96.19%
7.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Atletico Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.34%38.66%
1.524.60%75.40%
2.57.14%92.86%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.20%11.80%
1.562.99%37.01%
2.536.04%63.96%
3.516.85%83.15%
4.56.59%93.41%
5.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.06%23.94%
1.541.83%58.17%
2.517.37%82.63%
3.55.71%94.29%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico
Toluca
Score012345
0
4.56%
9.75%
10.42%
7.42%
3.97%
1.70%
1
4.33%
9.26%
9.90%
7.05%
3.77%
1.61%
2
2.06%
4.40%
4.70%
3.35%
1.79%
0.77%
3
0.65%
1.39%
1.49%
1.06%
0.57%
0.24%
4
0.16%
0.33%
0.35%
0.25%
0.13%
0.06%
Atletico
1-04.33%
2-02.06%
2-14.40%
3-00.65%
3-11.39%
3-21.49%
4-00.16%
4-10.33%
4-20.35%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-04.56%
1-19.26%
2-24.70%
3-31.06%
4-40.13%
Toluca
0-19.75%
0-210.42%
1-29.90%
0-37.42%
1-37.05%
2-33.35%
0-43.97%
1-43.77%
2-41.79%
3-40.57%
0-51.70%
1-51.61%
2-50.77%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico
Toluca
Score012345
0
23.94%
23.69%
11.72%
3.87%
0.96%
0.19%
1
10.53%
10.42%
5.16%
1.70%
0.42%
0.08%
2
2.32%
2.29%
1.13%
0.37%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.34%
0.34%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico
1-010.53%
2-02.32%
2-12.29%
3-00.34%
3-10.34%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-023.94%
1-110.42%
2-21.13%
Toluca
0-123.69%
0-211.72%
1-25.16%
0-33.87%
1-31.70%
2-30.37%
0-40.96%
1-40.42%
0-50.19%