Toluca at Leon

Updated

Toluca

12.1%17.5%70.4%
WinDrawLeon Win
0.85Projected Goals 2.33
4Final Score 4

Leon

Last 5 Games

Toluca
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Atlas+275
L 1-0 vs FC Juarez-105
L 0-3 at UANL+1000
T 1-1 vs Guadalajara+240
T 2-2 vs Monterrey+290
Leon
Money Line
T 1-1 at Santos Laguna+266
L 0-2 at America+425
L 1-0 vs Puebla+105
L 0-2 at Atletico+155
T 1-1 vs Queretaro-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toluca+420+525+570+576+548+570+576+608.0
Leon-165-235-270-220-227-270-220-195.8
Draw+300+390+390+388+374+390+390+408.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toluca+450-+555-+430+550+555+608.0
Leon-170--225--235-220-220-195.8
Draw+320-+370-+315+375+375+408.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leon: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toluca: 0.0%
Leon: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toluca: 0.0%
Leon: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toluca ML
No Steam Moves On Leon ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leon: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toluca: 0.0%
Leon: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toluca: 0.0%
Leon: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toluca ML
No Steam Moves On Leon ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o3-125o3¼-110--o3¼-110o3-125o3-114
Underu2¾-115u3+105u3¼-110--u3¼-110u3¼-110u3+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130-o3-132-o3-115o3-125o3-115o3-114
Underu2½+110-u3+112-u3-115u3+105u3+112u3+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.14%
Exactly 221.00%
Exactly 417.74%
Exactly 65.99%
Exactly 81.09%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.19%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 511.29%
Exactly 72.73%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 042.58%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.52%
Exactly 34.42%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Leon
Exactly 09.73%
Exactly 122.67%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 320.51%
Exactly 411.95%
Exactly 55.57%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.90%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 44.51%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 312.23%
Exactly 51.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 067.35%
Exactly 126.62%
Exactly 25.26%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leon
Exactly 034.00%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals3.62%
Wins by 3+ goals0.83%
Leon
Wins by 2+ goals47.32%
Wins by 3+ goals26.49%
Wins by 4+ goals12.45%
Wins by 5+ goals4.97%
Wins by 6+ goals1.69%
Wins by 7+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Toluca
Leon
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal8.43%
Wins by 2 goals2.79%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%
Leon
Wins by 1 goal23.02%
Wins by 2 goals20.82%
Wins by 3 goals14.04%
Wins by 4 goals7.48%
Wins by 5 goals3.28%
Wins by 6 goals1.22%
Wins by 7 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.86%4.14%
1.582.67%17.33%
2.561.67%38.33%
3.539.39%60.61%
4.521.65%78.35%
5.510.36%89.64%
6.54.36%95.64%
7.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.42%42.58%
1.521.07%78.93%
2.55.55%94.45%
3.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Leon Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.27%9.73%
1.567.60%32.40%
2.541.19%58.81%
3.520.68%79.32%
4.58.73%91.27%
5.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.10%22.90%
1.543.35%56.65%
2.518.47%81.53%
3.56.24%93.76%
4.51.74%98.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Toluca
Leon
Score012345
0
4.14%
9.65%
11.24%
8.73%
5.09%
2.37%
1
3.54%
8.24%
9.60%
7.46%
4.34%
2.02%
2
1.51%
3.52%
4.10%
3.18%
1.85%
0.86%
3
0.43%
1.00%
1.17%
0.91%
0.53%
0.25%
Toluca
1-03.54%
2-01.51%
2-13.52%
3-00.43%
3-11.00%
3-21.17%
Draw
0-04.14%
1-18.24%
2-24.10%
3-30.91%
4-40.11%
Leon
0-19.65%
0-211.24%
1-29.60%
0-38.73%
1-37.46%
2-33.18%
0-45.09%
1-44.34%
2-41.85%
3-40.53%
0-52.37%
1-52.02%
2-50.86%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Toluca
Leon
Score012345
0
22.90%
24.70%
13.32%
4.79%
1.29%
0.28%
1
9.05%
9.77%
5.27%
1.89%
0.51%
0.11%
2
1.79%
1.93%
1.04%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.25%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Toluca
1-09.05%
2-01.79%
2-11.93%
3-00.24%
3-10.25%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-022.90%
1-19.77%
2-21.04%
Leon
0-124.70%
0-213.32%
1-25.27%
0-34.79%
1-31.89%
2-30.37%
0-41.29%
1-40.51%
2-40.10%
0-50.28%
1-50.11%