Astros at Nationals

Updated
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
63.5%36.5%
Astros WinNationals Win
4.62Projected Runs 3.21
6Final Score 1
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-23.341.299

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
64-23.451.309

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
W 5-0 at Minnesota TwinsHOU: Luis Garcia • MIN: Josh Winder-101
W 11-3 at Minnesota TwinsHOU: Jose Urquidy • MIN: Chris Archer-110
W 5-0 at Minnesota TwinsHOU: Justin Verlander • MIN: Joe Ryan-138
W 0-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Wily Peralta • HOU: Jake Odorizzi-175
W 2-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Eduardo Rodriguez • HOU: Framber Valdez-186
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 4-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • WSN: Joan Adon+142
W 3-8 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • WSN: Aaron Sanchez+164
L 4-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • WSN: Patrick Corbin+143
L 4-5 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: Erick Fedde • LAA: Patrick Sandoval+190
W 7-3 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: Josiah Gray • LAA: Michael Lorenzen+146

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • SSJeremy PenaDoubtful

Washington Nationals

Status
  • -Hunter Harvey10-day IL
  • 3BEhire Adrianza60-day IL
  • PMason Thompson60-day IL
  • SSAlcides EscobarUnknown
  • PSean Doolittle60-day IL
  • PAnibal Sanchez60-day IL
ENE 1 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
From RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)72°70°70°72°
Humidity82%88%89%86%
Precipitation38%24%22%20%
ConditionPossible Light RainMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindENE 1 mphNNE 0 mphESE 4 mphESE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-155-160-147-142-147-147-142-138.0
Nationals+143+134+136+132+135+136+136+138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-153-146-143-145-144-145-143-138.0
Nationals+143+136+131+135+132+135+136+138.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -146 to -153
Nationals ML moved from +141 to +134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -144 to -150
Nationals ML moved from +142 to +135

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½+100-1½+105-1½+107-1½+105-1½+107-1½+107-1½+107-1½+114
Nationals+1½-120+1½-125+1½-127+1½-125+1½-127+1½-127+1½-125+1½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½-100-1½+105-1½+114-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+114-1½+114
Nationals+1½-120+1½-125+1½-132+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+104
Underu8-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-125o8-120o8-125o8-125o8½-105o8-120o8½+104
Underu8-110u8+105u8+100u8+105u8+105u8½-115u8+105u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-102 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
No Steam Moves On Under