Red Sox at Cubs

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
52.3%47.7%
Red Sox WinCubs Win
3.69Projected Runs 3.49
4Final Score 10

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

James Paxton (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-12.730.982

Marcus Stroman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
199-62.961.109

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 8-3 at Chicago CubsBOS: Brayan Bello • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-128
W 3-4 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: JP Sears • BOS: Tayler Scott-186
W 3-10 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Austin Pruitt • BOS: James Paxton-255
W 3-7 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Sam Long • BOS: Brennan Bernardino-215
W 6-10 vs Texas RangersTEX: Nathan Eovaldi • BOS: Kutter Crawford+131
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 8-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+122
W 7-4 at New York YankeesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • NYY: Domingo Germán+135
L 3-6 at New York YankeesCHC: Drew Smyly • NYY: Gerrit Cole+179
W 3-0 at New York YankeesCHC: Jameson Taillon • NYY: Carlos Rodon+147
L 5-6 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Marcus Stroman • MIL: Freddy Peralta+103

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PKaleb Ort15-day IL
  • PTanner Houck10-day IL
  • PCorey Kluber15-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock15-day IL
  • LFAdam DuvallRest
  • CReese McGuire10-day IL
  • 2BPablo Reyes10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • SSDansby Swanson10-day IL
  • CFMike TauchmanRest
  • -Brad Boxberger60-day IL
  • -Brandon Hughes60-day IL
W 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
To RightSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)83°84°85°84°
Humidity60%58%56%55%
Precipitation0%45%41%31%
ConditionMostly ClearIsolated ThunderstormsIsolated ThunderstormsIsolated Thunderstorms
WindW 7 mphW 7 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+115-113-118-111-113-111-111-105.7
Cubs-125+105-102+101+103+101+105+105.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+105-114-110-112-115-116-110-105.7
Cubs-115+104+100+102+105+100+105+105.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -109 to -116
Cubs ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -108 to -116
Cubs ML moved from +110 to +104

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-190-1½+137-1½+145-1½+142-1½+135-1½+142-1½+145-1½+150
Cubs-1½+160+1½-153+1½-170+1½-162+1½-155+1½-162+1½-153+1½-150
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-204-1½+140-1½+145+1½-215-1½+135-1½+135-1½+150
Cubs-1½+180+1½-160+1½-164-1½+178+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-118o9+100o9-105o9-105o9-105o8½-118o9+104
Underu8-105u8½+102u9-120u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o9-110o9-105o9-105o8½-120o9-105o8½-120o9+104
Underu8-105u9-110u9-115u9-115u8½+100u9-115u9-110u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-121 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-113 to u8½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-115
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8-110