Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
44.8%55.2%
Guardians WinTwins Win
4.13Projected Runs 4.68
8Final Score 12
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-29.451.7

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-13.481.161

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 1-4 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Cal Quantrill • CHW: Lucas Giolito+175
W 12-9 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • CHW: Michael Kopech+172
W 3-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • CLE: Konnor Pilkington+181
W 2-8 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Ross Stripling • CLE: Triston McKenzie+119
L 8-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • CLE: Shane Bieber+131
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 5-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Luis Garcia • MIN: Josh Winder+105
L 11-3 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Jose Urquidy • MIN: Chris Archer+107
L 5-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Justin Verlander • MIN: Joe Ryan+134
W 3-4 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Daulton Jefferies • MIN: Chris Paddack-155
W 0-1 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: James Kaprielian • MIN: Sonny Gray-205

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 3BYu Chang10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PBailey Ober10-day IL
  • CFKyle Garlick10-day IL
  • PDanny CoulombeUnknown
  • SSCarlos Correa10-day IL
  • PDylan BundyOut
  • -Jhon Romero60-day IL
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL
  • 1BMiguel Sano10-day IL
WSW 6 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°72°70°68°
Humidity38%43%51%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWSW 6 mphSW 4 mphSW 4 mphSSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+152+142+146+147+146+146+147+149.4
Twins-165-172-158-157-158-158-157-149.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+145+145+140+143+144+144+145+149.4
Twins-155-155-154-153-157-154-153-149.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +141 to +130
Twins ML moved from -165 to -172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guardians ML
Twins ML moved from -155 to -165

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-135+1½-145+1½-143+1½-145+1½-143+1½-143+1½-143+1½-133
Twins-1½+115-1½+125-1½+123-1½+125-1½+123-1½+123-1½+125-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133
Twins-1½+120-1½+125-1½+127-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+127-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-120o8-114o8-120o8-114o8-114o8-114o8-104
Underu8+100u8+100u8-106u8+100u8-106u8-106u8+100u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-120o8-120o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-104
Underu8+100u8+100u8+100u8-105u8+100u8-105u8+100u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under