Pirates at Nationals

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
43.5%56.5%
Pirates WinNationals Win
4.12Projected Runs 4.80
8Final Score 7
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-54.771.424

Paolo Espino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-12.211.107

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-3 at Washington NationalsPIT: Jose Quintana • WSN: Patrick Corbin+112
L 2-3 at Washington NationalsPIT: Miguel Yajure • WSN: Erick Fedde+136
L 2-4 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: Roansy Contreras • TBR: Shane McClanahan+230
L 5-6 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: JT Brubaker • TBR: Corey Kluber+162
L 3-4 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: Mitch Keller • TBR: Jeffrey Springs+193
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jose Quintana • WSN: Patrick Corbin-119
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Miguel Yajure • WSN: Erick Fedde-140
W 6-4 at Texas RangersWSN: Jackson Tetreault • TEX: Glenn Otto+152
L 2-3 at Texas RangersWSN: Josiah Gray • TEX: Brett Martin+133
W 2-1 at Texas RangersWSN: Paolo Espino • TEX: Dane Dunning+144

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDillon PetersUnknown
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • SSTucupita MarcanoUnknown
  • PZach ThompsonUnknown

Washington Nationals

Status
  • SSAlcides EscobarRest
  • PVictor AranoUnknown
  • 3BMaikel FrancoRest
  • PJosh RogersUnknown
  • PStephen StrasburgUnknown
S 10 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°83°82°82°
Humidity47%46%47%46%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 10 mphS 10 mphSSW 9 mphSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+110+130+133+135+132+133+135+138.0
Nationals-120-155-144-145-144-144-144-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+121+132+130+135+133+132+135+138.0
Nationals-131-142-142-145-145-142-142-138.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +120 to +112
Nationals ML moved from -135 to -144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Nationals ML moved from -138 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-185+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-145
Nationals-1½+160-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-170+1½-155+1½-167+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-145
Nationals-1½+150-1½+135-1½+148-1½+140-1½+140-1½+135-1½+148-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½-105o9-122o9½-105o9-122o9-122o9-122o9-109
Underu9½-115u9½-115u9+102u9½-115u9+102u9+102u9½-115u9+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-120o9-125o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-109
Underu9-105u9+100u9+105u9+100u9+100u9+100u9½-120u9+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-116 to o9½-108
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105