Braves at Pirates

Updated

Atlanta Braves

(89-73)
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
61.6%38.4%
Braves WinPirates Win
4.88Projected Runs 3.67
2Final Score 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

(76-86)
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Jake Odorizzi (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-54.151.317

Roansy Contreras (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-34.021.411

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Jose Urquidy • ATL: Charlie Morton-154
W 4-5 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Cristian Javier • ATL: Spencer Strider-154
W 2-6 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Lance McCullers • ATL: Kyle Wright-120
W 2-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Jacob deGrom • ATL: Max Fried+128
L 9-7 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • ATL: Jake Odorizzi+145
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 9-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Mike Minor • PIT: Zach Thompson-115
L 10-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Justin Dunn • PIT: Tyler Beede-140
W 4-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • PIT: Bryse Wilson+110
W 2-8 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Josh Winckowski • PIT: JT Brubaker+138
L 8-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Rich Hill • PIT: Roansy Contreras+149

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • 3BOrlando Arcia10-day IL
  • 3BEhire AdrianzaUnknown
  • LFAdam DuvallOut for Season
  • CChadwick Tromp10-day IL
  • CManny PinaOut for Season

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CRoberto PerezOut for Season
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • PBlake Cederlind60-day IL
  • PDavid BednarUnknown
  • PDillon PetersUnknown
  • -Yerry De Los Santos60-day IL
  • PMitch KellerQuestionable
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-181-195-210-192-192-192-192-182.5
Pirates+166+180+170+176+172+176+180+182.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-205-195-195-210-205-190-190-182.5
Pirates+170+177+176+175+185+175+185+182.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -200 to -210
Pirates ML moved from +174 to +168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -185 to -195
Pirates ML moved from +170 to +162

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½-115-1½-128-1½-130-1½-128-1½-128-1½-128-1½-128-1½-109
Pirates+1½-105+1½+112+1½+110+1½+108+1½+108+1½+108+1½+112+1½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½-115-1½-125-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-125-1½-109
Pirates+1½-105+1½+105+1½+112+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+112+1½+109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o9-103o9-105o9-108o9-108o9-108o9-103o9+109
Underu8½+105u9-113u9-115u9-112u9-112u9-112u9-112u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-105o9-105o9-105o9+100o9-105o9+100o9+109
Underu8½-100u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-115u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-120
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