Blue Jays at Red Sox

Updated
Rank24
R/G3.5
RA/G4.5
48.6%51.4%
Blue Jays WinRed Sox Win
4.19Projected Runs 4.33
3Final Score 4
Rank20
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5
Rank24
R/G3.5
RA/G4.5
Rank20
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Chris Bassitt (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-00.711.105

Walker Buehler (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-18.681.607

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
W 2-1 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Tanner Houck+119
W 6-1 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Easton Lucas • BOS: Garrett Crochet+198
W 6-2 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Jose Berrios • BOS: Richard Fitts+115
L 1-2 at New York MetsTOR: Bowden Francis • NYM: David Peterson+130
L 2-3 at New York MetsTOR: Chris Bassitt • NYM: Griffin Canning+119
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Tanner Houck-125
L 6-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Easton Lucas • BOS: Garrett Crochet-200
L 6-2 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Jose Berrios • BOS: Richard Fitts-125
W 7-18 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • BOS: Hunter Dobbins-116
W 4-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Andre Pallante • BOS: Sean Newcomb-109

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • PMax Scherzer15-day IL
  • PAngel Bastardo60-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PBrayan Bello15-day IL
  • PLucas Giolito10-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
E 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)48°47°47°46°
Humidity45%49%51%46%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindE 9 mphESE 9 mphESE 7 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+104+115+113+115+117+115+117+120.3
Red Sox-115-125-135-127-127-127-125-120.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+102+115+118+119+122+118+122+120.3
Red Sox-112-130-131-134-132-128-128-120.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +106 to +100
Red Sox ML moved from -120 to -126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 40.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +101 to -103
Red Sox ML moved from -123 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-205+1½-188+1½-185+1½-184+1½-190+1½-184+1½-184+1½-171
Red Sox-1½+175-1½+167-1½+160-1½+164-1½+165-1½+164-1½+167-1½+171
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-200+1½-185+1½-184+1½-175+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-171
Red Sox-1½+175-1½+165-1½+159-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+171

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o8-113-o8-105o8-120o8-105o8-105o8+104
Underu9+100u8-103-u8-115u8+100u8-115u8+100u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o8½+105o8½+105o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+105o8+104
Underu9-105u8½-125u8½-125u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8-103 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120