Guardians at Astros

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
40.5%59.5%
Guardians WinAstros Win
3.23Projected Runs 4.22
0Final Score 2
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Gavin Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-23.351.301

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
208-73.291.143

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 3-7 at Houston AstrosCLE: Noah Syndergaard • HOU: J.P. France+155
W 5-0 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Aaron Civale • CHW: Michael Kopech-138
L 2-7 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Logan Allen • CHW: Mike Clevinger-124
L 0-3 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Xzavion Curry • CHW: Touki Toussaint-129
W 6-3 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Tanner Bibee • CHW: Dylan Cease-110
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 3-7 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Noah Syndergaard • HOU: J.P. France-168
L 8-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zack Littell • HOU: Brandon Bielak-126
W 4-17 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • HOU: Hunter Brown-140
L 4-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane McClanahan • HOU: Cristian Javier+103
L 13-5 vs Texas RangersTEX: Andrew Heaney • HOU: Framber Valdez-167

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 1BJosh NaylorUnknown
  • PNoah SyndergaardQuestionable
  • 2BAndres GimenezRest
  • PShane Bieber60-day IL
  • PTriston McKenzie60-day IL
  • PCal Quantrill15-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • DHYordan AlvarezRest
  • LFCorey JulksRest
SSE 9 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)98°96°92°90°
Humidity43%47%52%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearPartly Cloudy
WindSSE 9 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 9 mphS 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+169+164+162+170+170+170+170+175.6
Astros-185-177-197-186-180-186-177-175.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+167+160+170+150+164+145+170+175.6
Astros-184-175-188-178-180-170-170-175.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +161 to +153
Astros ML moved from -185 to -193

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +170 to +162
Astros ML moved from -175 to -183

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-130+1½-123+1½-125+1½-125+1½-135+1½-125+1½-123+1½-114
Astros-1½+110-1½+107-1½+105-1½+105-1½+115-1½+105-1½+115-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-130+1½-130+1½-122+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-122+1½-114
Astros-1½+110-1½+110-1½+104-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+105o7½-108o7½-115o7½-112o7½-115o7½-112o7½-108o7½-102
Underu8½-125u7½-108u7½-105u7½-108u7½-105u7½-108u7½-105u7½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8+105o7½-105o8-105o8+110o7½-110o7½-105o7½-102
Underu8½-120u8-125u7½-115u8-115u8-130u7½-110u8-115u7½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125