Orioles at Red Sox

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
53.6%46.4%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
4.03Projected Runs 3.65
7Final Score 1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-02.310.857

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-05.41.1

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 2-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesBAL: Dean Kremer • PIT: Marco Gonzales-109
L 4-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesBAL: Tyler Wells • PIT: Bailey Falter-129
W 5-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesBAL: Grayson Rodriguez • PIT: Jared Jones-114
W 3-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • BAL: Corbin Burnes-156
L 4-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • BAL: Cole Irvin-150
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 12-2 at Los Angeles AngelsBOS: Tanner Houck • LAA: Chase Silseth-110
L 1-2 at Los Angeles AngelsBOS: Garrett Whitlock • LAA: Reid Detmers+104
W 8-6 at Los Angeles AngelsBOS: Kutter Crawford • LAA: Griffin Canning-106
W 1-0 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Nick Pivetta • OAK: Ross Stripling-160
W 5-4 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Brayan Bello • OAK: Alex Wood-145

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PCionel Perez15-day IL
  • PKyle Bradish15-day IL
  • PJohn Means15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • -Liam Hendriks60-day IL
  • -Bryan Mata15-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story10-day IL
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • PNick Pivetta15-day IL
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • PChris Murphy60-day IL
E 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
From RightModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)59°57°54°53°
Humidity39%43%47%50%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindE 9 mphE 9 mphE 10 mphE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-125-123-135-128-124-128-123-122.4
Red Sox+115+113+113+118+114+118+118+122.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-131-127-122-131-127-123-122-122.4
Red Sox+121+117+112+116+117+113+117+122.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from -119 to -125
Red Sox ML moved from +115 to +106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from -131 to -140
Red Sox ML moved from +123 to +115

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-1½+125-1½+137-1½+125-1½+140-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+143
Red Sox+1½-145+1½-153+1½-145+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-145+1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-1½+130-1½+135-1½+141-1½+130-1½+135-1½+140-1½+141-1½+143
Red Sox+1½-150+1½-155+1½-160+1½-150+1½-155+1½-160+1½-150+1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-113o8-120o8-116o8-115o8-116o8-113o8-105
Underu8½+100u8-103u8+100u8-104u8-105u8-104u8+100u8+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-120o8-115o8-130o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-105
Underu8½-115u8+100u8-105u8+110u8-110u8-105u8+110u8+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-106 to u8-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-105