Mets at Cubs

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
56.6%43.4%
Mets WinCubs Win
4.38Projected Runs 3.69
8Final Score 0

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
179-44.551.344

Keegan Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
117-33.041.169

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 7-3 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Chris Bassitt • ATL: Charlie Morton+143
L 1-4 at Atlanta BravesNYM: David Peterson • ATL: Spencer Strider+185
W 4-1 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Max Scherzer • ATL: Max Fried+123
L 2-0 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • NYM: Taijuan Walker+100
W 4-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Braxton Garrett • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-164
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Spenser Watkins • CHC: Justin Steele-138
L 4-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Jordan Lyles • CHC: Adrian Sampson-117
L 9-11 at Los Angeles DodgersCHC: Drew Smyly • LAD: Julio Urias+233
L 2-4 at Los Angeles DodgersCHC: Marcus Stroman • LAD: Clayton Kershaw+222
L 3-4 at Los Angeles DodgersCHC: Keegan Thompson • LAD: Tyler Anderson+190

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • RFStarling MarteUnknown
  • PTylor Megill60-day IL
  • CJames McCann10-day IL
  • 2BJeff McNeilUnknown

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • SSAndrelton Simmons10-day IL
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • PKyle HendricksUnknown
  • PAlec MillsUnknown
NE 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
InModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)73°71°69°68°
Humidity70%74%78%80%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindNE 8 mphNE 7 mphENE 6 mphENE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-141-135-129-131-128-129-128-123.5
Cubs+130+113+119+121+118+119+121+123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-150-129-128-130-130-128-128-123.5
Cubs+126+119+117+115+120+118+120+123.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -125 to -131
Cubs ML moved from +120 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -129 to -137
Cubs ML moved from +126 to +115

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+120-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138
Cubs+1½-140+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+122-1½+125-1½+127-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138
Cubs+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-109
Underu8-120u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-109
Underu8-120u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100u7½+100u7½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+101 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-115