Guardians at Red Sox

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
46.4%53.6%
Guardians WinRed Sox Win
4.45Projected Runs 4.82
7Final Score 8
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-16.51.833

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-19.822.182

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 5-2 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Shane Bieber • BOS: Nick Pivetta-128
W 1-4 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: German Marquez • CLE: Tanner Bibee-175
L 5-1 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Ryan Feltner • CLE: Peyton Battenfield-200
L 6-0 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Austin Gomber • CLE: Cal Quantrill-188
W 4-7 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • CLE: Logan Allen-115
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • BOS: Nick Pivetta+120
L 2-6 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Tanner Houck • BAL: Tyler Wells+118
W 8-6 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Corey Kluber • BAL: Kyle Bradish+146
L 4-5 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Chris Sale • BAL: Dean Kremer-111
W 12-5 at Milwaukee BrewersBOS: Brayan Bello • MIL: Corbin Burnes+152

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PSam HentgesUnknown
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJames PaxtonUnknown
  • LFAdam Duvall10-day IL
  • 3BYu Chang10-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoUnknown
  • PWyatt MillsUnknown
  • -Chris MartinUnknown
  • 2BTrevor StoryOut
  • LFZack Kelly60-day IL
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown
E 12 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)52°51°50°49°
Humidity73%76%79%81%
Precipitation0%0%0%24%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindE 12 mphE 12 mphE 12 mphE 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+115+105+100+106+100+106+106+110.6
Red Sox-125-114-120-116-110-116-110-110.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+117+102+105+100+107+104+107+110.6
Red Sox-128-112-115-110-117-114-110-110.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +100 to -105
Red Sox ML moved from -126 to -133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +115 to +107
Red Sox ML moved from -124 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-175+1½-183+1½-185+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-167
Red Sox-1½+155-1½+162-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+162-1½+167
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-174+1½-190+1½-187+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185+1½-167
Red Sox-1½+154-1½+170-1½+165-1½+158-1½+170-1½+165-1½+170-1½+167

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9-108o9-120o9-107o9-110o9-107o9-107o9+103
Underu9½-115u9-108u9+100u9-113u9-110u9-113u9+100u9-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-115o9-115o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9+103
Underu9-120u9-105u9-105u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-105u9-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-103 to u9-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120