Marlins at Padres

Updated

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
37.5%62.5%
Marlins WinPadres Win
2.95Projected Runs 4.25
3Final Score 8
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Zach Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-42.531.102

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
217-72.870.973

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 8-13 at Colorado RockiesMIA: David Hess • COL: Kyle Freeland+155
L 4-7 at Colorado RockiesMIA: Jesus Luzardo • COL: Austin Gomber+152
L 2-14 at Colorado RockiesMIA: Sandy Alcantara • COL: German Marquez+152
W 2-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Rich Hill • MIA: Braxton Garrett+120
L 5-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • MIA: Zach Thompson+145
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Madison Bumgarner • SDP: Blake Snell-205
W 2-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Taylor Widener • SDP: Yu Darvish-295
L 8-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Caleb Smith • SDP: Ryan Weathers-210
L 4-5 at Oakland AthleticsSDP: Joe Musgrove • OAK: Frankie Montas+118
W 8-1 at Oakland AthleticsSDP: Blake Snell • OAK: Sean Manaea+153

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • RFJesus Sanchez10-day IL
  • 2BJon BertiUnknown
  • PPablo Lopez10-day IL
  • 1BGarrett Cooper60-day IL
  • CJorge AlfaroUnknown

San Diego Padres

Status
  • LFJurickson Profar10-day IL
  • SSFernando Tatis Jr.10-day IL
  • PNick Ramirez10-day IL
  • PDaniel Hudson10-day IL
  • PChris Paddack10-day IL
WNW 6 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)72°70°68°67°
Humidity75%79%83%98%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 6 mphWNW 6 mphWNW 5 mphNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+200-+230+228+215+228+230-
Padres-220--280-255-255-255-255-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+195+220+223+225+230+220+230-
Padres-215-260-249-255-265-250-249-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +193 to +185
Padres ML moved from -270 to -280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
Padres ML moved from -250 to -260

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-115-+1½+110+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+110-
Padres-1½-105--1½-130-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-115+1½+100+1½+100+1½+105+1½+110+1½+100+1½+110-
Padres-1½-103-1½-120-1½-118-1½-125-1½-130-1½-120-1½-118-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100-o7½+105o7½+105o7½+100o7½+105o7½+105-
Underu8-120-u7½-125u7½-125u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100-
Underu7½-110u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-108 to u7½-120