Royals at Guardians

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
41.2%58.8%
Royals WinGuardians Win
4.59Projected Runs 5.52
3Final Score 7
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Jon Heasley (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-45.41.431

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 3-7 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Zack Greinke • MIN: Sonny Gray+170
W 7-3 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Brady Singer • MIN: Chris Archer+152
L 7-10 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Brad Keller • MIN: Bailey Ober+167
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Daniel Lynch • MIN: Devin Smeltzer+170
L 6-8 at Arizona DiamondbacksKCR: Jon Heasley • ARI: Zac Gallen+190
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 1-2 at Detroit TigersCLE: Triston McKenzie • DET: Elvin Rodriguez-157
W 8-1 at Detroit TigersCLE: Shane Bieber • DET: Alex Faedo-155
L 3-4 at Detroit TigersCLE: Konnor Pilkington • DET: Tarik Skubal+125
L 1-2 at Houston AstrosCLE: Cal Quantrill • HOU: Cristian Javier+170
L 3-7 at Houston AstrosCLE: Zach Plesac • HOU: Framber Valdez+205

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • CCam Gallagher10-day IL
  • SSAdalberto Mondesi60-day IL
  • CFKyle IsbelUnknown
  • PZack GreinkeUnknown
  • -Amir Garrett10-day IL
  • PRonald BolanosOut
  • CFMichael A. TaylorOut
  • CFEdward Olivares10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown
  • DHFranmil Reyes10-day IL
S 10 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)88°87°84°82°
Humidity41%43%50%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindS 10 mphS 10 mphS 10 mphSSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+155+130+133+133+132+133+133+138.0
Guardians-165-155-144-143-144-144-143-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+145+138+137+137+138+137+138+138.0
Guardians-155-148-150-147-150-147-147-138.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +132 to +126
Guardians ML moved from -152 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +145 to +138
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-140+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-133
Guardians-1½+120-1½+130-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-150+1½-140+1½-141+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133
Guardians-1½+130-1½+120-1½+123-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o10½-115o10½-120o10½-115o10½-116o10½-120o10½-115o10½-104
Underu8½-105u10½-105u10½+100u10½-105u10½-104u10½+100u10½+100u10½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o10½-115o10½-110o10½-115o10½-105o10½-105o10½-105o10½-104
Underu8½-100u10½-105u10½-110u10½-105u10½-115u10½-115u10½-105u10½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-117 to o10-131
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-120 to o10-130
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10+100