Red Sox at Braves

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
43.6%56.4%
Red Sox WinBraves Win
3.89Projected Runs 4.56
9Final Score 4

Atlanta Braves

(89-73)
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Garrett Whitlock (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-11.250.692

Kyle Wright (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-11.740.968

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dallas Keuchel • BOS: Tanner Houck-170
L 3-1 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dylan Cease • BOS: Nick Pivetta+125
L 4-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Vince Velasquez • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-160
L 8-0 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Shohei Ohtani • BOS: Rich Hill+117
L 10-5 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-130
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 2-9 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • ATL: Charlie Morton-131
W 2-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • ATL: Max Fried-103
L 6-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • ATL: Jesse Chavez+100
W 9-2 at New York MetsATL: Ian Anderson • NYM: Tylor Megill+124
L 0-3 at New York MetsATL: Kyle Wright • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-102

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PRich HillUnknown
  • 1BBobby DalbecRest
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • PMichael Wacha10-day IL
  • SSJonathan ArauzUnknown

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • RFEddie RosarioOut
  • CFGuillermo HerediaRest
  • CManny Pina10-day IL
N 3 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°77°74°72°
Humidity33%39%46%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 3 mphN 3 mphN 3 mphNE 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+140+126+131+128+131+131+131+133.2
Braves-150-150-142-138-143-142-138-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+122+132+130+129+133+129+133+133.2
Braves-132-142-142-139-145-139-139-133.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +140 to +130
Braves ML moved from -140 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +132 to +122
Braves ML moved from -133 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-155+1½-165+1½-163+1½-170+1½-163+1½-163+1½-163+1½-154
Braves-1½+135-1½+140-1½+143-1½+150-1½+143-1½+143-1½+150-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-165+1½-170+1½-164+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-164+1½-154
Braves-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-104
Underu8-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-110o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-104
Underu7½-100u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115
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