Braves at Padres

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
42.7%57.3%
Braves WinPadres Win
3.62Projected Runs 4.38
4Final Score 3
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Jesse Chavez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
23-22.541.059

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2911-93.151.068

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 10-8 at San Diego PadresATL: Huascar Ynoa • SDP: Vince Velasquez-113
W 4-0 at San Diego PadresATL: Max Fried • SDP: Reiss Knehr-121
L 4-6 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Charlie Morton • ARI: Madison Bumgarner-194
W 9-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Ian Anderson • ARI: Merrill Kelly-163
W 6-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Jesse Chavez • ARI: Luke Weaver-142
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 10-8 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Huascar Ynoa • SDP: Vince Velasquez+112
L 4-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • SDP: Reiss Knehr+120
W 6-7 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • SDP: Yu Darvish+104
L 8-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Scott Kazmir • SDP: Vince Velasquez-110
L 6-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Kevin Gausman • SDP: Joe Musgrove-106

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • LFAdam DuvallRest
  • PJosh Tomlin10-day IL
  • CStephen Vogt10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PChris Paddack10-day IL
  • PBlake Snell10-day IL
  • CAustin NolaOut for Season
  • PJake ArrietaQuestionable
W 7 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)69°70°71°72°
Humidity77%74%69%73%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClear
WindW 7 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 9 mph
Greg Gibson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+130+110+116+115+116+116+116+117.1
Padres-155-132-126-125-126-126-125-117.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+142+116+112+117+117+117+117+117.1
Padres-152-126-122-127-127-127-122-117.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from +126 to +119
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from +126 to +117
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+1½-150+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-168
Padres-1½+130-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+168
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+1½-150+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-165+1½-175+1½-165+1½-168
Padres-1½+130-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+145-1½+155-1½+160-1½+168

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-105o8-105o8-110o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-102
Underu8½+100u8-115u8-115u8-110u8-115u8-115u8-110u8+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-102
Underu8½+100u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-125 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110