Twins at Astros

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
35.4%64.6%
Twins WinAstros Win
3.76Projected Runs 5.29
5Final Score 3
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Griffin Jax (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-16.411.35

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
127-23.011.298

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 5-6 at Cincinnati RedsMIN: Charlie Barnes • CIN: Luis Castillo+220
W 7-5 at Cincinnati RedsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CIN: Tyler Mahle+129
L 3-7 at St. Louis CardinalsMIN: Michael Pineda • STL: Adam Wainwright+147
W 8-1 at St. Louis CardinalsMIN: Bailey Ober • STL: Jake Woodford+118
L 1-5 at St. Louis CardinalsMIN: Griffin Jax • STL: Wade LeBlanc+144
Houston Astros
Money Line
L 5-7 at Los Angeles DodgersHOU: Jake Odorizzi • LAD: Max Scherzer+214
W 3-0 at Los Angeles DodgersHOU: Lance McCullers • LAD: Walker Buehler+164
L 3-5 at San Francisco GiantsHOU: Luis Garcia • SFG: Logan Webb+109
L 6-8 at San Francisco GiantsHOU: Zack Greinke • SFG: Alex Wood+105
W 9-6 at San Francisco GiantsHOU: Framber Valdez • SFG: Kevin Gausman+115

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • CFRob RefsnyderUnknown
  • RFAlex KirilloffOut for Season
  • PDerek Law10-day IL
  • PTaylor Rogers10-day IL
  • 3BJosh DonaldsonUnknown
  • CFKyle Garlick60-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • PTyler Ivey60-day IL
  • 1BYuli GurrielUnknown
  • PAndre Scrubb10-day IL
  • SSCarlos CorreaUnknown
SE 6 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)84°82°80°79°
Humidity65%69%74%76%
Precipitation2%1%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSE 6 mphSSE 5 mphSSE 4 mphSSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+233-+215+208+200+208+215-
Astros-260--255-230-230-230-230-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+235+215+201+205+210+210+215-
Astros-275-255-223-230-235-240-223-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 50.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +204 to +195
Astros ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 50.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +203 to +190
Astros ML moved from -232 to -240

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½+120-+1½+120+1½+108+1½+108+1½+108+1½+120-
Astros-1½-140--1½-140-1½-128-1½-128-1½-128-1½-128-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½+120+1½+120+1½+107+1½+110+1½+115+1½+110+1½+120-
Astros-1½-140-1½-140-1½-125-1½-130-1½-135-1½-130-1½-125-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125-o9-120o9½+103o9½+107o9½+103o9½+107-
Underu9+105-u9+100u9½-123u9½-127u9½-123u9½-123-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9-120o9½+105o9½+105o9½+105o9-120o9½+105-
Underu9½-120u9+100u9½-125u9½-125u9½-125u9+100u9+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125